Penn State Game Forecast, NYC Update

Since I did a blog during Tropical Storm Hanna regarding rain at the Penn State Game on Saturday, I have been once again pigeonholed into doing it by popular request. Again, the city of State College is on the edge of the heavy rainfall, but the NMM FM currently has about an inch for us.

Fortunately this time, most of it will be coming Friday night. All day Saturday into Saturday night though, showers might spoil some game activities.

Truth be told, it's really too early to call yet. This weekend's forecast is an extremely complicated one because of the two potential tropical storms off the East Coast and a front coming in from the west. While I can't offer frequent updates on the game status, you can rely on the AccuWeather.com AccuPOP forecast when we get within 24 hours (or, if you're a Premium member you can see it 4 days out by typing in "State College, PA"- current screenshot below).

Here's an update on where the two storms will make landfall, courtesy the two preferred Forecast Models [JessePedia] - see yesterday's entry for yesterday's forecast and what "MB" means).

NMM: 996 mb landfall southwest of Cape Fear Thursday Evening; 2nd storm a 1004 mb low, far off the Virginia coast Saturday evening, heading NNE.

GFS: 1006 mb landfall at Cape Fear early Friday morning; 2nd storm clips Nantucket Saturday evening as a 1006 mb low, and makes landfall on the Maine / Canada border Sunday morning.

P.S.: The number of models predicting a storm system hitting New York City area has not decreased, though the number of models predicting a hurricane remains low, only two as of this writing. The latest Model Spread [JessePedia] intensity forecast is shown below.