HYPE: Models Predict Carolina Mayhem
The DGEX says a sub-966 mb (strong Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale [WikiPedia]) hurricane will make landfall on the Outer Banks Sunday night.
The NMM says a sub-978 mb hurricane will approach southeast North Carolina but not make landfall before the end of the forecast period (Sunday). The GFS says a much weaker storm will approach but turn out to sea after affecting the Outer Banks on Sunday.
30-foot waves will be crashing into coastal South Carolina early Sunday morning if you believe the WaveWatch model (which painted a similar picture, further north, yesterday).
The ECMWF also favors a Charleston, SC - like landfall, as does the JMA.
If you look at all the Model Spread [JessePedia], which shows all the hurricane tracking models, I'm not sure you could say there is a consensus in yet, but certainly most of them are approaching the Carolina coast.
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