Warmth for the Northeast in November's First Week

Monday morning

With a ridge building over the East, the prevailing flow aloft will run from Arizona and New Mexico to New England. This will lead to above-average temperatures. A storm affecting the Southeast will go out to sea tomorrow. At midweek, a weak cold front will move south from eastern Canada, but it will probably stall in the southern New England. Later, a storm will form in the northern Plains and move to east-central Canada. A cold front trailing behind the storm will move east through the Great Lakes on Thursday. A trough now just off the California coast will then follow, probably causing a storm to form along the cold front just as it is approaching the Northeast. The storm will help the front move eastward, so its clouds and rain may be offshore during the day Saturday. Much cooler air will blow into the Northeast behind the cold front. However, it is not likely to stay more than a day or two before another surge of mild air approaches. You can see much this scenario unfolding in this video:

Signs of fall have been quite vivid in recent weeks. This sign certainly pointed the way to a great leaf display, but soon the grays of winter and barren trees will replace autumn's bright palate.