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Philippines to Japan on alert for impacts from brewing tropical cyclone

By Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Sep 15, 2019 5:19 PM EDT

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A slow-moving tropical disturbance will bring the risk of impacts to locations from the northern Philippines to Japan this week.

The disturbance slowed to a crawl in recent days as it remained centered south of the Ryukyu Islands.

While it has not officially been recognized by the Japan Meteorological Agency, it has been given the name Tropical Depression Nimfa in the Philippines.

Through the middle of the week, it is expected that the system will remain stalled to the east of Taiwan and south of the Ryukyu Islands leading to several days of downpours across the region.

Related:

Japan Weather Center
Interactive Japan weather radar
AccuWeather’s 2019 Asia autumn forecast

The most widespread downpours will be found from Luzon into the southern Ryukyu Islands through Thursday.

Flash flooding and mudslides may become a concern across Luzon including in and around Manila where more than 100 mm (4 inches) of rain has fallen since Sunday.

Additional downpours will be possible across the northern Philippines from Friday into the weekend.

A satellite image showing a large cluster of rain and thunderstorms near the Philippines on Tuesday afternoon, local time. (Japan Meteorological Agency/Himawari 8)

A track farther to the north and west could spread these downpours into southern and eastern Taiwan from Wednesday into Friday; however, at this time, it appears Taiwan will avoid any widespread heavy rainfall.

Beginning on Friday, a northward turn is expected taking this tropical threat toward the Ryukyu Islands to the east of Taiwan.

As the storm turns northward, it will also move into an area more favorable for strengthening which may allow it to become a typhoon.

The Ryukyu Islands and the rest of Japan will then likely be in the crosshairs of a strengthening tropical cyclone from Friday into the weekend with some impacts potentially lingering into early next week across Japan.

Residents of the Ryukyu Islands and western Japan should prepare now for a potential landfalling tropical storm or typhoon later this week or this weekend and the potential for evacuations to be ordered.

As the storm tracks northward, it is also expected to grow in size which could allow flooding rainfall to expand into South Korea.

At this time, southern and eastern South Korea are at greatest risk for heavy rainfall that may arrive as early as Saturday.

However, any westward shift in the track would increase these risks across the rest of the country.

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AccuWeather Weather News Philippines to Japan on alert for impacts from brewing tropical cyclone
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