Model Animation of the Snow and Cold

I LIKE WHAT I AM SEEING FOR THE MIDWEST STORM...WE NOW NEED TO GET A STORM IN THE MID-ATLANTIC...

Below are animations of the GFS Surface Map and Conditional Snow/Ice/Rain. The GFS has been very consistent with the storm cutting up through the Midwest. I did see some e-mails from Midwest folks who expressed the observation that the path looks similar to the storm that hit back in December. On the latest run of the GFS, the storm is actually a little farther east, which is good since that agrees more with my snow area from this morning. I had gone with the farther-east idea for snow given that the push of cold air will shove the storm more to the east then shown on the model. The NAM model has not caught on to the storm idea yet, probably because the energy is still off the California coast. I suspect the model will come around to a more stormy solution.

In the longer range, I think the models are having a tough time trying to figure out the next storm event. The models are overwhelming the East with cold air, thus it buries all storms across the South as flat waves. I have a feeling that the outcome will be a major storm coming out of the Gulf and heading up the East Coast. Why? I think the ridge will hold along the South Coast, allowing for a sharper trough in the East while energy coming in through the Southwest will pin-wheel around the base of the trough and cause a more powerful storm to develop. Look at the current storm that could be a blizzard in the Midwest. That storm was only a suppressed wave along a front a week ago and now we are talking about possible blizzard conditions in Chicago. So it only makes sense in a senseless weather pattern that the next storm will be much stronger than what is shown on the models today.