We Have Circulation in the Gulf!
UPDATE: Tropical Storm Barry has been declared. See this blog entry for additional information.
ORIGINAL POST:
It's pretty clear to me at lunchtime Friday that we have a tropical cyclone in the Gulf of Mexico today, and I say "Tropical Cyclone" to avoid saying "Tropical Storm" since that is an official classification that's not yet been reached, according to The NHC [JessePedia], who hasn't even issued a statement acknowledging the system today. I tell you this -- it is a closed circulation low-pressure system (storm) that formed in the Tropics.
Anyway... here's what the rain shield looks like at noon today. Great news for the Florida drought! This is how nature evens itself out, folks. She's just off the radar scopes of both Key West and Cuba, so we can't confirm that circulation on radar.
You'll want to keep an eye on the 24-Hour Doppler-Estimated Precip Map LIVE (PREMIUM | PRO) to see how much rain the system drops. Here's what we're predicting:
Where's the storm moving? I won't bore you with other graphics because our our Weather Headlines (PREMIUM | PRO) and Breaking Weather News Page (PREMIUM | PRO) are full of good information today on where we think the storm will track and what its effects will be. For what it's worth, here are the latest Model Spread [JessePedia]:
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As far as impacts, I'll quote AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO): "I think folks across Florida will see weather that they would associate with the passage of a weak tropical storm... this does look like the kind of system that can produce some tornadoes tonight and tomorrow. The path will be close to the Southeast coast... Near and east of the center, there will be heavy rains and gusty winds, on par with what have been tropical cyclones before."
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