As many as 5 tropical cyclones could form in Indian Ocean this week
By
Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
Published Dec 2, 2019 6:54 PM EDT
As Typhoon Kammuri moved over the Philippines on Dec. 3, its powerful winds and heavy rain blasted Calapan City. This typhoon is the most powerful to hit country this year.
Following a brief quiet spell, the Indian Ocean is set to explode with tropical activity this week as multiple cyclones may develop.
The development got underway on Monday as a tropical depression developed to the east of Somalia.
Up to four additional tropical cyclones may develop across the northern and southern Indian Ocean before the end of the week.
The new depression near Somalia is expected to become better organized in the coming days and become a cyclonic storm as early as Wednesday, local time.
Upon reaching cyclonic storm status with winds equal to a tropical storm in the Atlantic Ocean, the name Pawan would be given to the storm.
A track to the west and then southwest is expected in the coming days, taking the storm closer to the coast of Somalia.
Satellite image showing a tropical depression located east of Somalia on Tuesday. (Satellite Image/EUMETSAT)
Rainfall may reach the northeast coast of Somalia as early as Thursday morning with an increased risk for downpours from Thursday afternoon into Friday.
Heavy rainfall across northern Somalia and neighboring parts of eastern Ethiopia will bring the risk for flooding and mudslides.
Damaging winds will be possible near the coast where landfall occurs. While the most likely area for landfall to occur is between Adale and Bandarbeyla, all locations along Somalia's coastline should closely monitor this storm.
Elsewhere, two areas of showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized to the northeast of Madagascar and may become named tropical cyclone in the coming days.
Satellite image showing to large areas of showers and thunderstorms located north and east of Madagascar on Tuesday, local time.
One of these clusters of showers and thunderstorms is currently centered near Seychelles and will track toward the south or southwest, taking this potential tropical cyclone toward Madagascar later this week.
A potential landfall is possible by Friday or Saturday in northern Madagascar. If the tropical threat were to track just east of Madagascar, impacts would be possible for Reunion and Mauritius as early as this weekend.
If this tropical threat were to reach moderate tropical storm status, the name Ambali would be given to the storm.
The other cluster of showers and thunderstorms to the east of Seychelles may also develop into a tropical cyclone and would take a southward track in the coming days.
This tropical threat is not expected to impact Madagascar but could approach Reunion and Mauritius this weekend or early next week.
Elsewhere, a pair of tropical threats could become named tropical cyclones near India this week.
Satellite image showing a well organized area of low pressure west of India on Tuesday.
The first is an area of low pressure, currently located west of Kerala, that developed into a tropical depression on Tuesday night.
A general northwest track will keep this depression well off the coast of western India this week, limiting any impacts even if it strengthens into a cyclonic storm.
This system will encounter harsh environmental conditions as it moves into the northern Arabian Sea, causing it to dissipate before reaching any other landmass.
A final tropical threat for this week will occur as cluster of showers and thunderstorms currently east of Sri Lanka tracks westward and emerges in the southern Arabian Sea to the southwest of Kerala.
Enhanced rainfall and flooding will be possible across Sri Lanka and far southern Kerala and Tamil Nadu into Thursday as the disturbance tracks near the region.
While development would still be possible, impacts to land are not expected from Friday into this weekend as the tropical threat tracks westward into the open waters of the southern Arabian Sea.
Report a Typo
News / Hurricane
As many as 5 tropical cyclones could form in Indian Ocean this week
By Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
Published Dec 2, 2019 6:54 PM EDT
As Typhoon Kammuri moved over the Philippines on Dec. 3, its powerful winds and heavy rain blasted Calapan City. This typhoon is the most powerful to hit country this year.
Following a brief quiet spell, the Indian Ocean is set to explode with tropical activity this week as multiple cyclones may develop.
The development got underway on Monday as a tropical depression developed to the east of Somalia.
Up to four additional tropical cyclones may develop across the northern and southern Indian Ocean before the end of the week.
The new depression near Somalia is expected to become better organized in the coming days and become a cyclonic storm as early as Wednesday, local time.
Upon reaching cyclonic storm status with winds equal to a tropical storm in the Atlantic Ocean, the name Pawan would be given to the storm.
A track to the west and then southwest is expected in the coming days, taking the storm closer to the coast of Somalia.
Satellite image showing a tropical depression located east of Somalia on Tuesday. (Satellite Image/EUMETSAT)
Rainfall may reach the northeast coast of Somalia as early as Thursday morning with an increased risk for downpours from Thursday afternoon into Friday.
Heavy rainfall across northern Somalia and neighboring parts of eastern Ethiopia will bring the risk for flooding and mudslides.
Damaging winds will be possible near the coast where landfall occurs. While the most likely area for landfall to occur is between Adale and Bandarbeyla, all locations along Somalia's coastline should closely monitor this storm.
Elsewhere, two areas of showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized to the northeast of Madagascar and may become named tropical cyclone in the coming days.
Satellite image showing to large areas of showers and thunderstorms located north and east of Madagascar on Tuesday, local time.
One of these clusters of showers and thunderstorms is currently centered near Seychelles and will track toward the south or southwest, taking this potential tropical cyclone toward Madagascar later this week.
A potential landfall is possible by Friday or Saturday in northern Madagascar. If the tropical threat were to track just east of Madagascar, impacts would be possible for Reunion and Mauritius as early as this weekend.
If this tropical threat were to reach moderate tropical storm status, the name Ambali would be given to the storm.
The other cluster of showers and thunderstorms to the east of Seychelles may also develop into a tropical cyclone and would take a southward track in the coming days.
This tropical threat is not expected to impact Madagascar but could approach Reunion and Mauritius this weekend or early next week.
Elsewhere, a pair of tropical threats could become named tropical cyclones near India this week.
Satellite image showing a well organized area of low pressure west of India on Tuesday.
The first is an area of low pressure, currently located west of Kerala, that developed into a tropical depression on Tuesday night.
A general northwest track will keep this depression well off the coast of western India this week, limiting any impacts even if it strengthens into a cyclonic storm.
This system will encounter harsh environmental conditions as it moves into the northern Arabian Sea, causing it to dissipate before reaching any other landmass.
Related:
A final tropical threat for this week will occur as cluster of showers and thunderstorms currently east of Sri Lanka tracks westward and emerges in the southern Arabian Sea to the southwest of Kerala.
Enhanced rainfall and flooding will be possible across Sri Lanka and far southern Kerala and Tamil Nadu into Thursday as the disturbance tracks near the region.
While development would still be possible, impacts to land are not expected from Friday into this weekend as the tropical threat tracks westward into the open waters of the southern Arabian Sea.
Report a Typo