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News / Hurricane

Atlantic still being watched for tropical tricks before Halloween

By Ryan Adamson, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Oct 25, 2026 11:47 AM EDT | Updated Oct 25, 2026 2:49 PM EDT

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A new system in the Atlantic Ocean that could develop into something tropical will definitely lead to rough surf and stormy waters near Florida this weekend.

While there are currently no active Atlantic tropical storms in the wake of Josephine, the season does not end until Nov. 30. AccuWeather's hurricane experts are still monitoring one area close to the coast of the United States leading up to Halloween.

Whether or not the area being monitored develops into a tropical entity, there will still be effects along the coast.

"Persistent onshore flow and ongoing King Tides along many Southeast beaches has resulted in minor to moderate coastal and tidal flooding in recent days and is expected to continue into this week," explained AccuWeather meteorologist Brandon Buckingham.

Despite those impacts, there are currently a couple of factors inhibiting tropical development for now.

"In the short term, strong wind shear and a front nearby may prevent any brewing storm from becoming tropical," said AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva.

As the onshore flow continues through much of this week, the piling up of water along the coast will make the coastal flooding worse.

"Moderate to major flooding is expected with places like Charleston, South Carolina, expected to see their highest levels during Monday's and Tuesday's high tides," warned Buckingham.

Even away from concerns from coastal flooding, there will localized flooding concerns with downpours and the slow-moving nature of the system.

"Florida's Atlantic coast will face the brunt of wet weather from the storm sitting offshore where locally heavy rain can compound impacts when also factoring in the windy conditions and high astronomical tides," cautioned Buckingham.

Meanwhile, some parts of the Sunshine State will be living up to its name.

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"A completely different story is expected along a majority of Florida's Gulf Coast with offshore flow and largely dry conditions making for much more pleasant conditions," said Buckingham.

The storm could also become subtropical, just as Josephine was. If a tropical or subtropical storm forms, it would be named Kyle. Names are assigned to both subtropical and tropical storms to raise awareness.

Even absent of an official name designation, AccuWeather meteorologists will issue an Eye Path® forecast if the storm is deemed to pose a high risk of major impacts to lives, property and/or travel.

Pacific remains active

Although the Atlantic has had less than the historical average number of storms this hurricane season, that has not been the case in the Pacific, as the El Niño continues to strengthen. Hurricane Vance is currently near Mexico and a new tropical depression has formed to the west of Hawaii.

AccuWeather's hurricane experts will continue both the Atlantic and Pacific basins through the end of November, when the season officially ends.

More stories of interest:

Tropical downpours may lead to flooding in Hawaii during late-October
Vance became 11th major hurricane. Will it turn toward Mexico?
Sunsets before 5 p.m. are about to return as daylight saving time ends

Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.

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