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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

Will the United Kingdom Storm be Like 1987?

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist and senior weather editor

Published Oct 25, 2013 2:46 PM EDT | Updated Oct 25, 2013 4:53 PM EDT

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There's been much hype in the news and social media this week about a strong storm that will hit the United Kingdom and Ireland Sunday night. (Lightning photo taken earlier today by Paul Appleby Photography on the coast of North East England).

The number two Google Search in the U.K. Thursday was "Met Office (the British weather office)." Many comparisons have been made to the 1987 storm, but what are the facts as we know them right now?

590x326_10251856_storm2

The approaching storm this weekend already has winds over hurricane force in the ocean, and NOAA is predicting waves to 50 feet. The WaveWatch model agrees with that, showing waves over 48 feet offshore (and, amazingly, 36-foot waves near shore!).

590x410_10251843_ecmwf1025c

Our meteorologists are writing a story to update this one later tonight. Speaking to them internally, they are not hyping the storm and don't think it will compare to 1987.

The mega storm back then had a minimum pressure of 953 mb... the European model (as of this writing) is predicting a sub-958 mb low pressure system over the water, then as low as sub-964 mb in the U.K. mainland.

590x317_10251846_edcmwf1025a

The European model is showing wind gusts above 70 mph on land, but the U.K. and Ireland have a long history of strong winter storms. Even if it doesn't approach 1987 levels, there will be damage and you will likely see this storm on television Monday, in my opinion.

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Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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