After the non-stop flow of nasty comments from certain Blog Commenters and Forum participants, an endless tirades of cursing and death threats today, I thought about just resigning from discussing upcoming storms ever again.
But then I read some of the other Comments from the more supportive readers, and I realized that I will not let the bullies keep me from reporting the weather.
Shame on YOU detractors who try to censor the weather, those who try to hide what the models are saying and predict fair weather for all eternity. It's not the American way! I will continue to report on the possibilities that the Models and AccuWeather.com Forecasters present. I will not retire, get fired, or otherwise be silenced as you wish.
The possibilities is what we, as a Commercial weather company, are here to present. We are here to warn clients and the public of what may lie ahead. We are NOT here to project a 5-Day forecast that says "Fair. Fair. Fair. Fair." or a Seasonal forecast that says "Equal Chances Of Above & Below Normal". We will NOT issue forecasts at 5:00 and 11:00 AM and 5:00 and 11:00 PM.
In regards to the storm next week, it will still happen, as scheduled. It may not be the intensity the models originally predicted, and it may not affect the large population in the Northeast in a historical fashion, if you believe the models today (but why today, if you didn't Thursday?). But it will happen, and another storm will come after that, then another. The weather will not stop simply because some people want it to. And worldwide weather will not grind to a halt because the chosen few don't get two feet of snow in their backyards. And when the storms are coming, I will report on what the Models and our Forecasters think. And when the storms happen I will report on what they have wrought.
COMING SOON: Two blogs on what you've all been waiting for, even the detractors I think...
1. Why are the models so inaccurate? What is being done to improve them?
2. How far behind normal snowfall are the major cities in the Mid-Atlantic?
Stay tuned... because sticks and stones may break my bones, but Comments won't keep me from blogging.
P.S.: What are all you people doing up at midnight anyway?? I'm usually in bed at 9 or 10, ha!
I think that the people who accuse AccuWeather of overhype are right quite a bit of the time. They also have to remember that you're a private outfit that's out to make money. It's basically a combination of weather and advertising, with all the caveats that go with advertising. If it were pure science, your site wouldn't likely be in the format it is. If it were all about putting the pure science out there, there wouldn't be a pro site.
So, if people don't like the hype, they shouldn't get their weather info here, or they should remember what they're viewing.
I get annoyed by it now and again, and, for all the criticism of the NWS by y'all, for my local forecast, they pretty much nail it; AccuWeather doesn't do as well as they do.
At the same time, when I travel, and especially when I go to hike somewhere, I check out your longer-range forecasts for some ideas. That's very helpful. And I, too, enjoy the shoptalk and trivia. It feeds my inner nerd. Thanks for that.
Posted by Zandt | February 2, 2009 12:56 PM
I agree with you wholeheartedly. The weather is what you get. PERIOD
Posted by Allen Johnson | February 2, 2009 11:27 AM
Keep up the good work! Thanks for all you do.
Posted by Chris White | February 1, 2009 5:27 PM
Keep up the good work... forecasting for millions of people in thousands of locations is no exact science, no matter the notion of those nay-sayers. Remember, a third are going to like you, a third of them won't, and the rest really don't care. Casey (Stengel) said the trick is to keep the third that don't care from listening to the third that don't like you. Anyone willing to say those negative things doesn't like themselves, and doesn't know it yet, so they lash out at others instead of talking straight with the person they see in the mirror.
GO WEATHER MATRIX!!!
Posted by DaveHersh28 | February 1, 2009 12:20 PM
I have just recently been reading the weather site, and find you fasinating! My husband showe me your blog.
I can't imagine why people are harassing you. I guess the economy must be bringing out the worst in people...
Don't post this message, I just wanted to let you know that people are watching and learning new things from your great posts.
Posted by melissa | February 1, 2009 11:32 AM
Keep up the good work. It's unfortunate that some people feel the need to hound you and other meteorologist when the forecasts don't verify as planned. It happens, it's the nature of forecasting and I believe many people are ignorant to how difficult it is to try and predict the future.
Posted by Patrick | February 1, 2009 11:17 AM
Rich in Franklin, MA:
RIGHT ON JESS!!!!
Remember fellow bloggers, Its a forcast, NOT a exactcast. Its the weather, unpredictable!
All of the uncertainty over this storm, where? how much? how intense? It just goes to show you cannot prdict, with absolute certainty, weather.
Take note all you global warming doom sayers!
Posted by Rich in Franklin, MA | February 1, 2009 11:09 AM
Hey, thanks, I appreciate your blog and your comments and forecast!
Posted by Mark | February 1, 2009 11:04 AM
Jesse, I do believe accuweather does overhype the weather for viewership occationally. Our local station WLOS in Asheville use to be accuweather and to be honest the weather man here was eating crow quiet often. It has since been replaced with skywatch weather(whatever that is). This storm was never mentioned more than possible snowshowers and he is looking good compared to other forecasters on TV. Now, having said that,the abusive language, tirades, death threats,these nuts need to get a life and realize forecasting is not an exact science and I will continue to follow accuweather for the weather in the future.
Posted by mark | February 1, 2009 10:56 AM
I'm a starving snow goose in Toms River, NJ. Since I bought a new snowblower after the Feb. 2003 blizzard, I think we've had 1.5 inches of snow since! The running gag is that spiders have used the snowblower more than me. Hopefully, Feb. might do the trick. I enjoy your blogs along with my pisano JB. As far as the nitwits who threat and demean you, they're clueless. You guys have a tough job and do the best you can.
Keep up the good work and let's see if I can finally use this $600.00 gorilla in my garage.
Posted by Bobby | February 1, 2009 10:40 AM
Good to hear that you will not cave to the negative commenters. The weather models are not perfect but compared to just a couple of decades ago they are sterling.
No one on your site has ever said that a long range forecast is set in stone, without the possibility for change. So long as you folks recognize that the science is not going to be a 100% representation of reality, at least for the forseeable future, you will continue to do all of us a big favor. I read your sight several times a day and will continue to do so, despite any imperfections. You have a fascinating job and you have certainly saved many lives by doing it.
SO THANKS FOR THE GOOD WORK!!
Posted by B. Drumheller | February 1, 2009 10:37 AM
Love you're what I suspect is you laughing back at 'em. They're taking time to read your blog. You're a professional- don't let them get you down.
Posted by dave m. | February 1, 2009 10:29 AM
The last week has been a wild and messy ride but I'm not sure you should change anything. I'll admit there were times when I was annoyed, but in the end I've concluded that this is the very nature of true science. "Mother Nature" will make a fool of you, and the simple souls who curse the forecasters and pine for a completely predictable world should be condemned to a Bill Murray Ground Hog Day. The irony is truly rich, given that this has been referred to more than once as the "Ground Hog Day Storm". But back to the science... my take on it is that our modern culture has turned science into some sort of religion where "theories" become dogma. It takes a brave soul to try to predict what God is going to do tomorrow, let alone in five days. Anyone who thinks that a computer can predict with unflinching accuracy what is going to happen in a vast and complex FLUID system is kidding themselves. The lack of a unified "corporate voice" can be messy, but that's REAL science at work, folks! So trudge on, brave souls, Ground Hog day is just round the bend. And if a few of you got carried away because you love a Big Daddy, well, I'm fine with that. As a kid who used to call the "Weather Phone" for the temperature and humidity at 5:01 AM after laying awake half the night with visions of blizzards racing thru my head... as they say here in Philly... "I feel you, dawg".
Posted by Villy | February 1, 2009 10:26 AM
Don't sweat the little things, and they are all the little things. After watching my son battle leukemia for four years, I don't let things or people get under my skin. I look at almost all of the blogs at accuweather when there is a big storm possibility. I find your posts informative and accurate. Forecasting is as much an art as science. If you ever look at a medical doctors degree it doesn't say the science of medicine. It says the art of medicine. I wonder if these same critics would give their doctors the same "hard time?"
Posted by Hank Angus | February 1, 2009 10:23 AM
Hey jesse these models this year have always been trending east and at the last minute boom they are west this storm we are dealing with now was 300 miles or so off the coast 2 days ago and now the 00z and the 6z are trending a more coastal hugger this is the first millera type storm in the last 3 years for the megalopolis I think now from dc to boston a good dump is about to happen this storm should make up for the total in dc phiily and ny boston already had their fair share of snow BRING IT ON from snowless philly .jeff
Posted by jeff c | February 1, 2009 10:10 AM
You said you wanted to know when AccuWeather uses "will"...well, check out this quote under a headline from 9:30 this morning:
"Up to a foot or more of snow will fall in the heaviest zone as very cold, arctic air becomes entrenched in a storm hugging the coast. Philadelphia and Washington, D.C., will have 3 to 6 inches of snow, while New York City and Boston will have 4 to 8 inches."
Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Meghan Evans
This was posted under a snow map showing my home town of Staunton, VA in the 3-6 inch category. I got really excited by this, until I went on to my local Accuweather forecast (called for 1.4 inches), NWS (60% of snow showers), and my local forecast (20% chance of snow showers; yes, I'm obsessed about getting some snow- we've only had a coating all winter!). But this Accuweather map shows what WILL happen. Hmmm.
Most of us realize that models trend this way and that before a weather event, but let's dispense with the "will", shall we, especially when the lead up to this storm has been so unreliable.
Posted by Janita | February 1, 2009 10:07 AM
i read your site to see the different ideas and forcasts. not to critisize. it's ignorant people that do. which is unfortunately the norm of the type of people you find on most any blog site.
keep posting your forcasts and models, etc. i read them because they rprovide insite. not because they end up right or wrong.
Posted by dave | February 1, 2009 10:06 AM
hey, those bullies obviously have no life what so ever and with what you said their prob young kids that dont even know how to spell weather yet, that dont know the world, have no responsbilities, and those are the low life people that ruin what is good. anyways you did pretty good job disc. the winterstorm so no negative thoughts here!
Posted by mike | February 1, 2009 10:05 AM
Sorry to see you so upset this morning when I logged on. Readers must remember the blogs are opinions and Comments from us are our opinions
We don't have to agree with everything we read. Would we jump off the bridge if we read everyone was jumping off the bridge. I know I wouldn't!
I love reading the opinions of the weather forcasters at ACCUWEATHER--blogs. Alot better that the weather people on my local TV station, they have just started talking about the storm this morning. Accuweather gave me the headsup several days ago that a storm could be heading this way. I read everyday several times a day so please keep blogging for us addicts addicted to the weather no matter where the weather is happening..Thank you keep up the great job!
Posted by barb | February 1, 2009 10:04 AM
Anyone that curses on the blogs or threatens you should not be allowed to blog any more! They should be censured.
Please don't be intimidated by those bullies. They must be bored to death or can't sleep at that hour of the night.
I love to read all the bloggers on the Accu Weather website and I think that everyone is doing a great job, even if the forecasts for the northern NJ area have been quite inaccurate so far this winter, especially in January.
I would like to see you post a video when you have the chance. I remember you and Henry posting a video together as two raindrops. That was quite amusing.
I am waiting for the "Big Daddy" that everyone is predicting on your website for Monday and Tuesday. I am all hyped up and hope I won't be disappointed this time.
Keep up your great work. Us weather fanatics want you to stay!
Posted by Jeanette Myers | February 1, 2009 10:00 AM
Cursing and death threats aside, which should never be condoned or tolerated, Many people are reacting to the "over-hype" some of your forecasters like Henry engage in. Forecasting is a science, and not a perfect science, we all know that. But the approach lately by accuweather seems to be more of a circus event with it's main thrust being to hype storms and viewership instead of providing reliable weather information. I can't tell you how many times I pass along Accuweather's predictions only to be laughed at when nothing materializes. You seem to have two schools of thought at accuweather. The first group understands that 5 days out dealing with conflicting models, you really can't make an accurate prediction...and their forthright and admit it, and say wait till we have better model solutions...that's good science. The second group seems to love calling for "Big Daddys" every week, and that is pure advertising hype to gain viewership, and that is not science.
Ignoring the posters who become obnoxious, there are many viewers who would rather you guys drop the hype BS. If you and the models don't know what is going to happen 5 days out, then say so. People can and will understand and accept that as the nature of making weather predictions. The "Big Daddy" promoters are now irrelevant to me...simply because their track record is abysmal. I'd prefer your site to go back to what your name infers ACCU_weather. The way things are now you mind as well be HYPU-weather.
And remember, constructive criticism is a good thing.
FROM JESSE: I appreciate your thoughts. I actually thought we were hyping less over the last year, up until this storm, which I still think was a really strange event. Henry hadn't even said the word Big Daddy for at least a month! :) There should be a happy medium between overhyping and the NWS's "Fair/Fair/Fair/Fair" 5-day forecasts.
Posted by Steve | February 1, 2009 9:44 AM
Maybe you guys should do like others do and charge for unlimited forum posting and limit the non payers to 10 per day or per storm. New forums often suffer the trolls, this one is no different.
Posted by scott | February 1, 2009 9:42 AM
Hey man I totally agree with you. You post what YOU think is going to happen. Their are plenty of professionals at accuweather with varying views of each storm so whoever wants to believe one has many choices. Another thing I notice on the forums from a few people (Most are very very helpful especially being that I am new) is that when someone posts a snow map and their hometown is covered in the heavies axis of snow someone says yea will your just saying that and wishcasting. I mean seriously alright then for now on I will leave an empty area right over my hometown!
Posted by LJGoose | February 1, 2009 9:38 AM
Sadly enough, I yell at our weathercaster while he is on TV, but I wouldn't do so to his face. Actually during Hurricane Dolly, I went to where they were and brought them snacks.
It is sad you are getting "haters" that have nothing better to do than take their frustrations out on you.
BTW, you can send a bit of cold our way, if your predictions have the magic effect the others accuse you of???? South Texas has not been that cold this year.
Have a Good Day
Posted by Gweebles | February 1, 2009 9:26 AM
Atta boy Jesse! Go get em! Seriously though i gotta say this is a fantastic blog. What amazes me is how everything you write is interesting and is always something that id want to read. I wanted you to know that i really appreciate your work and what Accuweather does in general. Keep on truckin', because i'll keep on readin'!
Posted by Moshe | February 1, 2009 9:06 AM
Dude...never let them see you sweat...people are for the most part bored and have to have hope and passion for something big in their lives and there are many of us who have chosen weather for their passion including me. Unfortunately many people put all their passion into the upcoming forecasted weather event which is really sad...we still have a little football game going on today which should provide amble entertainment for the masses. Sent a message to Frank Strait asking why we have gotten to the point where we can predict the actions of hurricanes with amazing accuracy, so why can't we figure out the path of a nor'easter within four days? He didn't answer and would therefore appreciate you telling us why we can and how the models predict some storms better than others. We in Baltimore will probably get the typical 3" snow. People here have not enjoyed bunches of blow up storm since the 80's when the nor'easters were plentifull. Have only lived here for a year, lived in the south my entire life, so yes, the winter weather is much more exciting here! Keep your head up, don't worry about the idiots, and keep taking chances with long term forecast's...that's how we all learn! Durrman Out
FROM JESSE: Thanks for your thoughts. The models tend to predict the existence of major storms such as winter storms and hurricanes well, especially if they agree with each other 5 days out like we saw on Thursday. So it is a big surprise to us to see the storm weakened. Where they disagree most often is on placement of the center of the low, which makes a bigger difference for winter storms than hurricanes because it can quickly move the snow track.
Posted by durrman | February 1, 2009 8:49 AM
Nancy - North Jersey:
Keep up the good work. For us this winter you guys have been the best with the accumulation of snow. We all know the slightest shift changes things and we don't control Mother Nature. She has a mind of her own. Ignore them and please keep bloging. I enjoy all of you.
Posted by Nancy - North Jersey | February 1, 2009 8:46 AM
Good for you!! Folks need to realise we can not do anything about the weather that's to come or, the weather we're currently having. You are in a business that is by its nature totally out of your control. Your tools i.e. the models and your years of experience are basically all you have to go on. To have a free service like ACCUWEATHER available for the public to visit and learn about the weather is something we all should cherish.
Posted by Steve | February 1, 2009 8:39 AM
I find this one of the most interesting sites on the net. Please keep it up. I'm not able to interpret models, etc., I just like reading all the discussions about the weather and hearing about all the possibilities. In the midst of boring January and February especially, the weather's changes and exciting "possibilities" keeps everyone "on their toes" when it would be so easy to just give in to the "winter blues"-the cold, dark months when everyone wants to just stay under the covers and sleep 'til spring!
Posted by Sherie S. | February 1, 2009 8:27 AM
Dude,dont let them bother you. they all have issues if they cant see the fun in all of this nonsence we call weather. Thankfully the models are wrong! How boring would the weather be if they were always spot on?
Posted by Dean P | February 1, 2009 8:22 AM
In my opinion, the storm predictions are not a hype, rather they are information of possibilities of weather events to occur based on models which is a tool. How we the people internalize the weather is subjective and generally is biased from our own expectations and wants. Some individuals are not able to see the information being presented as just that, information of possibilities.
Accuweather is presenting the possibilities from expert staff that are trained to interpret the information. Accuweather over the last few days has made it very clear of the uncertainty of the track and letting us know that with this storm people need to be prepared. Which leads me to why I appreciate the everyone's efforts to provide the information. For me it is a safety issue, am I prepared for it if we do get the storm. The answer was no. And knowing the possibilities gave me time I needed to get prepared.
Keep presenting the possibilies for it is better to be safe than sorry.
Posted by MSG | February 1, 2009 8:19 AM
My devotion is the Gospel, and I have alot of detractors too. You and I are in the business of forecasting the truth. The fair weather for eternity is on the long range guidance as I read the model, but what I seeing in the short range is very concerning. However I am only qualified to write my own forecast. Thank you for sharing your devotion.
Posted by Carl | February 1, 2009 7:55 AM
Do stay the course. I consider it a great privilege to be able to tune in, at Accuweather and elsewhere, to the meteorologist shoptalk and huddle-talk about the weather in general and computer modeling in particular. Only by tempering the raw output of the models with depth of human experience do the models become maximally useful. And only tempered with love of the subject at hand, and the world in general, can human experience best temper whatever aid we may obtain from such machines. It's obvious to me that you and every other participant in the Great Dialog about weather that goes on at Accuweather and other serious weather sites truly love the observation, art, and science of weather, and bring to your observations and forecasts a knowledge of weather vis-a-vis region without which forecasting is much more gamble than science. Follow your love and you cannot go wrong. And we will cheer you.
Posted by David Newkirk | February 1, 2009 7:35 AM
What drives some people over the brink is not the forecasting of possible storms, etc. which is what you guys are all about. It's the uber-hyping by some of the Accu-bloggers do, inlcuding the Big Cheese JB, and using near definitive statements that 'such and such will happen', only to have to back-track on such statements hours later. Still, that doesn't make it right for posters to be abusive.
Perhaps a few of the on-line forecasters need to take a step back and calm down also.
Posted by Hank | February 1, 2009 7:35 AM
Jessie you KEEP on doing what you do best and that is weather people have to understand weather is not an exact science that is why it is fun to speculate righr along with you guys if people cannot understand this they need to go get some help quick REMEMBER ONE THING MIND OVER MATTER IF YOU DONT MIND IT DOES NOT MATTER
Posted by chris | February 1, 2009 6:49 AM
Good for you Jesse. Everyone needs to just chill(no pun intended)! The weather is the weather, it's changes everyday, every hour. It's not like forcasters are out there controlling who gets snow and who gets rain. If you don't like the weather where you are, move!
Posted by Jodi | February 1, 2009 6:44 AM
Jessie, please dont listen to those idoits. there are those of us who love your blogs. Henry , eliott, and you. Please keep up the great work.
Posted by mike D | February 1, 2009 6:16 AM
Good for you, Jesse! I can't believe people would be so rude. Thank you and Accuweather for providing your reports for us online -- free of charge, may I add.
Hey people, don't like the weather? Stick around for a while, it'll change. And if you really don't like the forecasts -- blame god or mother nature or the universe, because forecasters don't MAKE the weather, they just FORECAST it!
Posted by M | February 1, 2009 5:11 AM
You make the comment 'what are you still doing u...it's midnight' and now here it is 5:00 am Sunday morning and I'll bet every weather nut (I'm already there) has the Accuwweather site on their morning browse. The same thing that prompt me to tell my family and friends that care to hear that their may be a historic storm are the same things that got the Accuweather people into forecasting to start with; when you are passionate about the weather, you don't talk averages...you talk extremes. Does a prediction for a moderate snow get your juices flowing as much as a storm prediction that may rival the blizzard of '93? Weather nuts love headlines, extremes, and shy away from the routine and average. Accuweather may hype the storms in their headlines, but don't most all of you do the same. Do you read a blog that says we are going to get an average storm and then call all the family members? Of course you don't...but how many of you ran to the phone and made a few calls when that comparison to the '93 superstorm was made? Lighten up on these folks a little, otherwise, delete the sight from your favorites and go to Weatherunderground and read the non emotional and boring 'scientific discussion'
Posted by Bob Burger | February 1, 2009 5:06 AM
William C. Snow III:
You tell 'em Jesse, my name is Clint Snow and I live in Richmond, VA and have loved SNOW since I was old enough to know what is. I am also old enough(40+) to realize that mother nature is always going to win. Mother nature is not going to tell you exactly what is going to happen because that would take the fun out of it. I think all you guys at Accuweather do a great job considering the pressure. Anyway do think Richmond will get a decent blanket from this storm?
Keep up the good work,
Posted by William C. Snow III | February 1, 2009 2:01 AM
I'm 51 years old and can tell you the dates and history of all the major snowstorms to hit the Huson Valley in NY since 1965. Weather prediction is the toughest job in the world. I saw them predict the 93 superstorm 6-7 days ahead and them completely foul up the 78 Nor-easter. Keep up the great work, I really enjoy readng the blogs. I wish we had these when we weke kids and I wish I went with a life as a weather forcaster.
Donny, Wallkill NY
Posted by Donny | February 1, 2009 1:34 AM
Well said. I respect you tremendously as a forecaster and, as an avid forecaster myself, I know that it is impossible to be 100% correct 100% of the time. That's just not going to happen. Don't let the bad attitudes of a few affect your passion for what you do. Keep on keepin' on.
A loyal WeatherMatrix follower now and always,
Jim S., Connecticut
Posted by Jim | February 1, 2009 1:12 AM
I think you are doing a wonderful job. I love this site, and I look forward to all your updates. My sister calls me 10 times a day to find out "where the storm's going", lol. Thank you for a job well done!
goober, OH snow bunny
Posted by goober | February 1, 2009 12:52 AM
Just like in Politics, the loonies with their off-the-cuff loud-mouthed remarks, are often the ones that get heard above the normal-minded folk out here. Your (as well as the rest of the Accuweather staff blogs) comments are MUCH enjoyed and appreciated by the "norm" populace out here. Nobody is perfect. Every weather-nut out here wishes the "Big Daddy's" would roll their way, and it just doesn't always happen. Unfortunately, the early predictors take the beating from the wacko's when off-target. I think I can speak for most in saying that I much more enjoy those that take educated guesses on what MIGHT happen well in advance, vs. those that have no guts to take stabs until the weather event is already well underway. Great info. and service you provide here - don't change!
Posted by Dave F. | February 1, 2009 12:38 AM
My hat off to you guys....I know sometimes things just don't work out right. It's not your fault. I understand meteorology is a combination of interpretation of the models and some gut feeling thrown in as well. Like all sciences data can be misleading. I myself am very dissapointed in this winter's weather so far, being that I live in south eastern Pa. I know it's just the way it is sometimes. Meteorologists may never be perfect but that doesn't mean we shoud stop trying to forcast.
Posted by Shane patterson | February 1, 2009 12:00 AM
I can't believe that most of the complainers are poeple who can get in trier car and drive 2-3 hours and be in snow country ...... stop whining and get gas and coffee and go ! Maybe these poeple just want a day off of work ? Just call in sick then turn your a/c on and pack your pants with ice and clean out your fridge and hop in .Or maybe these poeple should try to spend a few cold nights outdoors like the poor homeless !
You should also proof read the comments and any with poor spelling should not be posted ! If I was in control I would not have the comments posted for all to see.......I think alot of poeple feel important by seeing them posted .
If it is one thats worth commenting on then by all means post it !
Posted by greg young | January 31, 2009 11:46 PM
A note of thanks from a grateful family that faithfully reads your blog and appreciates your work, efforts and insights! Please keep up the great work and know that many are thankful to you.
And, if I may, pooh to the sour ones!
Posted by Anchor | January 31, 2009 11:45 PM
Thanks for the update on the storm. Shame on the others for trying to predict calm weather.If the weather was calm all of the time we would not have these good people to tell us the weather.
Posted by Dan | January 31, 2009 11:35 PM
How come you don't put up a video like Henry, Frank and Elliot? I think that will be awsome. I always think it is eaiser to verbally say what you want to say, then just typing it. You do a lot of work, but you are good at it.
Posted by Matthew | January 31, 2009 11:33 PM
AMEN!!!!!!!!!!!The possibilities of what could happen is why I love your site and your peers ,I live in N.C. and nobody will discuss these possibilities ! It is called forecasting for a reason ! I think most of the angry people need to simmer or get back to work ! Keep it up and remember most of the patient and faithful don't comment or at least don't want a backyard forecast ! Many thanks !
Posted by greg young | January 31, 2009 11:30 PM
I am a snow goose through and through, even though I live in the state of Ga. I have not missed a run of any model for the past 2 months. I have been very dissapointed by the trend of the models concerning the potential storm next week. On the other hand, I am even more interested by what caused this trend. Henry's theory is one that I would like to see investigated. I am writing this just as the GFS 00Z runs are coming in and would love to see the 006Z runs show that that the lack of information caused by the volcano in Alaska, has caused the models to shift this storm out to sea. I have been an avid subscriber for years and have never seen such a shift in models with a storm, VERY interesting, even if it doesn't snow in my back yard.
Posted by Richard Lillie | January 31, 2009 11:21 PM
Its ok keep up the good work. Dont let the few ruin it for they many. People are ridiculous for cursing you and giving you threats and whatever they have been doing. You and other meteorologists dont make the weather, you just try to predict it as best you can. Keep it up, good work.
Posted by Bill | January 31, 2009 11:19 PM
People need to calm down; it's just weather!
Now.. have you seen the new runs of the GFS and NAM?
Looking very good. Very different from yesterday, too.
Maybe Henry was right..
Posted by Brandon R. | January 31, 2009 11:12 PM
I agree, some people get a little crazy and should not be cursing or making threats. I think the issue here is how much hype Accu gave this storm and comparing it to the 93 super storm. Henry actually said yesterday that it was crazy that the models are taking this storm out ot sea, but tonight he thinks it may happen. Obviously anthything can happen still as the storm is a few days away, but it is very diappointing as i was buying all the hype. As a side note, I feel that most of the forecast this winter or model forecasts have been very inaccurate. To this day my brother stil says that Accu hypes all these storm to increase the volume of hits to the website as it is a business and I'm sure you generate good revenue from advertisements. Please tell me/him that he's wrong...
Posted by Chris hawken | January 31, 2009 11:11 PM
I know you can't stand profanity on this blog, but I just have to say this. "Jesse, your blogs kick butt" Sorry I just had to say it. I think what infuriates soo many weather nuts like myself is the refusal for weather forcasters to use the words "May Happen." Instead I've noticed alot of meteorologists using the words "Will Happen" instead. Many of the bloggers on this very website say "will happen" all the time, and it rarely ever does
FROM JESSE: I disagree, I don't think we say that very much (but the Commenters do, ha!). If you catch us doing it, drop me an email.
Posted by Jess | January 31, 2009 11:07 PM
Way to go Jesse - stand your ground. Freedom ends when fear and intimidation take over.
BTW, you make a good point that you are a Commercial weather company. Your business is to discuss the weather, make predictions, explore the possibilities of what's to come. That means you will be wrong sometimes. If people want 100% accuracy, then they should just wait and see what happens outside their window, not look at predictions. I come here because I enjoy the mixture of speculation and science.
Posted by Tom Hoefel | January 31, 2009 11:06 PM
You go Jesse, i love your blog and respect your work, im real glad you decided not to resign, and *whisper, look the 00Z NAM and GFS, looking like you may not be so wrong about the storm huh?
Posted by Kyle A | January 31, 2009 11:02 PM
The Thanksgiving snow storm has begun this Wednesday morning.
Do me a favor, travel Tuesday, or tell your family to hold on to the turkey until Friday.
Last year this time, a major winter storm in the Northeast was rumored for the biggest travelling day of the year... and so it is again this year:
Extreme lake-effect snow fell south and east of Buffalo, New York, this week, but is it a record? Not even close... so far.
The second shot of reinforcing cold air from last week's polar vortex invasion is coming in -- as more than half the nation is snow-covered.
Yes, that term "polar vortex" is back in the news. Please take this arctic outbreak for the serious meteorological beast that it is; see stats and maps here.