HYPE: 48-Foot Waves Off NOLA Coast?

UPDATE: Blog reader Sean points out that the GFDL is also favoring the New Orleans prediction. Although it is a hurricane-specific model, I have never been thrilled with its long-term predictions. If this comes true, I will be.

We're no longer stuck with just the GFS long-range model - a peppering of short-range models are now showing Hurricane Dean's progression. Looking at them ths morning, I see the WaveWatch model is still holding out hope for a New Orleans hit. It shows 48-foot waves offshore next week:

HOWEVER, with the exception of the NOGAPS, which doesn't even acknowledge the storm's existence, all models that I looked at this morning (see maps from NAM, DGEX, GFS, JMA, ECMWF and UKMET) seem to think that Dean will move over the Yucatan Peninsula. See my entry published earlier on what affect that might have.