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Florence`s Future

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist and senior weather editor

Published Sep 5, 2006 3:59 PM EST | Updated Sep 6, 2006 2:06 PM EST

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I'm out of the office and a little under the weather today (no pun intended) but I did want to post this tidbit about (recently declared) Tropical Storm Florence. If you look at the model trends through 60 hours from all available forecast models (available on our Pro site):

The trend seems to be solidly to the northwest, away from the islands (at left). But if you take the models out further, at least the NHC models shown below, the storm appears to take a southwest turn towards the islands and Puerto Rico.

AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi says in his morning blog:

sst0905aS

In any case, if she becomes a Category 3 storm, or even a Cat 2, she'll be the first one this year, which is remarkable this late in the season. Below is our latest graphic depectiing possible landfall areas, if she makes landfall.

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Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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