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10 In. of Rain Forecast for Yard Sale

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist and senior weather editor

Published May 9, 2006 3:21 PM EST | Updated Jun 6, 2006 2:30 PM EST

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After recently moving into our new house, my family has been planning a local yard sale of massive proportions. Each year the Milesburg, Pennslyvania area (where my mother and father-in-law live) gets together for two days of community-wide yard sales. This year it's on May 19th and 20th.

So I should have seen this coming. Today in Joe Bastardi's blog on Pro, he proclaims:

This information is based mainly on the GFS model, which is one of the only models that forecasts that far out. Of course, Henry (BIO | PREMIUM | PRO) counters in his blog:

This is a good example of how two good forecasters, even at the same company, can come up with different conclusions by looking at the data. These opposing views is why our forecasters get on the intercom and have a national map discussion several times during the day. There's too much data out there, and some mets might miss something others pick up on. Or, they might just argue.

Anyway, if Joe and the GFS is right, I'll have one rainy yard sale after an initial flood of biblical proportions. Here's how it breaks down:

DAYS 1-7: 5"+ Rain for Eastern PA:

yardsale1s

Note that, in the above image, the key doesn't go past 5 inches, so we're probably talking 6-8" in southeastern Pennsylvania.

DAYS 7-15: Another 2.5"+ Rain for Eastern PA

yardsale2s

My yard sale is on Day 10. If the GFS is right, the heavy rain will come from multiple slow-moving cold fronts and upper-level storm systems, I won't make much money, and my new house will be full of wet, unsold junk.

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WeatherMatrix
Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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