It looks as though the front crossing the middle Mississippi Valley will be able to cause some severe storms tonight after all. That could include some tornadoes. The front may also trigger a few bad storms toward the East Coast tomorrow as well.
The good news is that it looks mostly quiet for a while in the wake of the front, and the air mass behind the front doesn't look terribly cold ... and will mostly be aimed at the eastern part of the country, so it will warm up again quickly in Texas.
Paul is falling apart near Baja California while Rafael is pulling away from Bermuda into the North Atlantic.
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The rest of the week will be cold and this weekend is looking very cold as arctic air moves in. With so much cold air available, there will be snow to talk about, too. West of the Mississippi, warmth will hold on in many areas.
Here's an update on the severe storm and tornado risk for the first part of the week. Behind the stormy weather, it will turn colder again.
A powerful storm will bring severe storms to parts of the South though the first part of the workweek, then much colder air arrives behind the storm. Opportunities for snow and ice will follow.
Warmer air will spread over the South this weekend and early next week while a powerful storm forms over the Southwest. This storm will cause a severe weather outbreak over a large part of the South next week, including tornadoes.
A storm and front converging on Florida will generate thunderstorms, some severe with lots of rain, through Thursday. Otherwise, we're heading into a quiet and warm spell that will last into early next week.
The blizzard still hitting parts of the South is winding down for us and behind it we will be quiet the next few days, giving us time for cleanup. We're still watching for a storm late next week but odds seem against much snow with it now.