Brett Anderson

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New Hints about El Nino and the Long-Range Forecast

September 21, 2012; 2:06 AM ET

I just got a look at the latest September El Nino Southern Oscillation forecast model plume forecasts from IRI and the consensus is still for a weak El Nino through the winter, but the overall trend since the August forecasts has been weaker with the El Nino which makes sense based on current observations. El Nino 2012 has had a tough time getting going, and chances are high now that this phase will be weak at best this winter. More on the weak El Nino climatology for Canada on the next blog.

Latest weekly ECMWF long-range forecast model output...........

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Brett Anderson
Brett Anderson covers both short-term and long-term weather and storm forecasts for Canada in this blog for AccuWeather.com.