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Father's Day forecast: See where thunderstorms could impact outdoor plans. Chevron right

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Showers, storms to return to much of Northeast for Father's Day weekend

Have outdoor plans for Father's Day in the Northeast? Think again as a familiar four-letter weather word makes a return to the region.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Jun 11, 2025 2:13 PM EDT | Updated Jun 12, 2025 2:18 PM EDT

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Wildfires can produce smoke that impacts the air in areas thousands of miles away from the actual fire and can have a major impact on weather forecasting. AccuWeather’s Ariella Scalese explains.

The clock is ticking on a batch of dry air that turned off showers and thunderstorms for most areas in the Northeast. AccuWeather meteorologists say that moist air capable of producing downpours is not all that far away and will return to some areas before the Father's Day weekend.

A small area of high pressure that moved in from the Midwest was just strong enough to dry out the atmosphere into Thursday for much of the Northeast. An exception will be some showers in northern Maine and a narrow zone of thundershowers in northern and central Pennsylvania from late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening.

The sunshine and overall good drying conditions helped temperatures rise with widespread highs in the 80s F on Thursday. Some parts of the mid-Atlantic reached the lower 90s with AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures in the mid- to upper 90s.

Beyond Thursday, however, the dry air will be replaced by surging moisture that will trigger more clouds and pockets of rain.

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By Friday afternoon, an uptick in showers and thunderstorms is anticipated from southern and western New York through the rest of the mid-Atlantic and central Appalachians.

While not all of this area will experience a downpour, the places that do could be drenched. And, some places might be pestered by more than one shower or thunderstorm.

As a storm rolls slowly out of the south-central United States this weekend, it will continue to pump moisture northward from the Gulf and northwestward from the Atlantic.

The moisture surge may be significant enough for downpours to repeat and trigger flash flooding in parts of the Ohio Valley, southern Appalachians and part of the mid-Atlantic by Saturday.

Those heading to the 250th anniversary parade of the U.S. Army in Washington, D.C., on Saturday should be prepared for a drenching shower or gusty thunderstorm.

As the storm continues to advance northeastward and moisture further expands in the region on Sunday, most of the Northeast will be at risk for locally drenching showers and perhaps gusty thunderstorms.

Father's Day barbeque plans, a fishing trip or a day at the ballpark or beach could be hampered by downpours and the potential for thunderstorms. The best day at the mid-Atlantic beaches over the next several days is likely to be on Thursday before the rain arrives over the weekend.

A pocket of dry air may dip down from Canada on Sunday and may be just enough to keep rain away most of the day in parts of New England and eastern upstate New York.

Looking ahead into next week, "there are some signs that a spell of very warm weather or perhaps a even a heat wave may evolve," AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said. "That will depend on how strong an area of high pressure is that is forecast to build in place over the region."

Time will tell if the high is strong enough to shunt the Father's Day weekend storm to the east and hold off new storms to the west.

More to Read:

Wildfire smoke to limit number of days with deep blue sky this summer
Children swept away among at least 49 killed in South Africa flooding
If crucial ocean currents collapses, weather impact would be extreme

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AccuWeather Weather Forecasts Showers, storms to return to much of Northeast for Father's Day weekend
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