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Florida downpours to ease by Election Day as Atlantic tropical development could bring Bermuda rain

Florida’s flash flood risk will persist into Monday night before downpours ease for Election Day. Meanwhile, AccuWeather is monitoring possible tropical development between the Bahamas and Bermuda.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Nov 2, 2026 11:17 AM EST | Updated Nov 2, 2026 11:44 AM EST

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Video shows a private jet crashing in Palm Beach County, Florida, killing nine people. Investigators are reviewing flight data and weather conditions, including thunderstorms, lightning and reported icing, to determine the cause

Drenching downpours will pose a flash flood risk across parts of the Florida Peninsula into Monday night as rough surf and beach erosion ease along the southern Atlantic coast. Rainfall will become less widespread from Election Day through Thursday.

King tides combined with rough surf last week to flood some coastal communities and erode beaches along Florida’s Atlantic coast. This week, torrential rain has brought flooding to both inland and coastal areas.

Thunderstorms were occurring across the state on Sunday when a Learjet 60 crashed in Palm Beach County, Florida. Additional rain and thunderstorms could impact officials working at the scene of the crash this week.

Parts of the central and eastern Florida Peninsula have received 5-10 inches of rain over the past few days, with locally higher totals in an area stretching from southeast of Orlando to north of Fort Lauderdale. As of midday Monday, a gauge in Melbourne, Florida, had recorded 10.24 inches since late last week. Some other gauges reported even higher totals.

A slow-moving storm formed over the Florida Peninsula over the weekend. Together with a flow of moist air from the Atlantic Ocean, it fueled torrential rain that triggered dangerous flash flooding into Monday.

The National Weather Service issued a flash flood emergency Monday morning for West Melbourne and Palm Bay in Florida’s Brevard County.

The storm is beginning to weaken, but pockets of torrential rain will continue to pose a flash flood risk into Monday night. Some streets and highways may be temporarily blocked by high water.

Locally drenching showers and thunderstorms will remain possible on Election Day and Wednesday. However, as moisture decreases and the storm weakens, downpours will become more widely separated.

Moisture will increase again across Florida late this week as a cold front approaches from the north, drawing air from the Gulf and Atlantic.

How much rain the front will produce across Florida remains uncertain. It is likely to be much less intense than the rain from Sunday to Monday.

The front is more likely to bring drenching rain to areas farther north along the Atlantic coast late this week, where some areas have not received a drop for weeks.

AccuWeather: Medium risk of tropical development between Bahamas and Bermuda

AccuWeather meteorologists assess a medium risk that a tropical or subtropical system will develop between the Bahamas and Bermuda this week. Any development is expected to be gradual.

Similar to the storm over Florida from Sunday to Monday, "low pressure situated a few miles above the sea surface has the potential to spin down into the lower atmosphere and gradually intensify into a tropical or sub-tropical depression," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said.

Direct impacts to the U.S. are not expected from this potential system. Strengthening winds from the west across the eastern U.S. are forecast to steer it away from the coast later this week into next week.

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"The storm is forecast to get close enough to Bermuda to at least bring squally showers," DaSilva said. "Bermuda has not had a named storm bring direct impacts to the islands this season."

If the system becomes a tropical or subtropical storm, it would be named Kyle, provided no other Atlantic storm forms first.

More to Read:

9 killed in Florida plane crash as thunderstorms sweep area
FEMA steps in to dismantle Outer Banks homes on edge of collapse
Humans accidentally canceled next ice age — it’s no reason to celebrate
Election Day weather: Where storms could disrupt voting plans

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AccuWeather Weather Forecasts Florida downpours to ease by Election Day as Atlantic tropical development could bring Bermuda rain
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