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Subtropical Storm Andrea Model Tracks

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published May 9, 2007 1:16 PM EDT | Updated May 10, 2007 12:11 PM EDT

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UPDATE:1 PM Eastern: Blog reader Jeanne just asked the question, what is a Subtropical Storm? It's basically the term that The NHC [JessePedia] uses with for describing a hybrid storm, that has some tropical characteristics and some features that you'd normally find in your run-of-the-mill low pressure system. WikiPedia has a more long-winded description.

You can bet that we're working on an Eyepath graphic for Andrea, and it will be in our AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center (PREMIUM | PRO) soon. Meanwhile, the latest Model Spread Map is out and it's worse than earlier for consistency.

RadarPlus shows that there have not been any cloud-to-ground lightning strikes in the storm in the last two hours (USPLN).

rp509bs

The storms near the center of the storm have not been very strong -- stronger storms are present on the northern fringe in southeastern North Carolina (radar | download movie).

ORIGINAL POST:

The NHC [JessePedia] says this morning in a Special Tropical Disturbance statement:

rp509as

The overnight (06Z) Model Spread [JessePedia] is shown below.

combo_atl_509as

As you can see, long-term she could go anywhere but most likely is southwest towards Florida. By looking at the radar/satellite/pressure/winds from AccuWeather.com RadarPlus, which I believe uses a WRF model analysis the storm looks weaker this morning.

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