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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

Saturday`s Outbreak May Be Worse

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Mar 8, 2006 4:07 PM EDT | Updated Jun 6, 2006 3:30 PM EDT

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If you believe the NAM model's forecast for Saturday, that severe weather outbreak that evening will be much worse than this mid-week one. It is calling for CAPEs of over 2500 and Lifted Indices of below -10 in parts of Louisiana and Arkansas. Nothing it's predicting today or tomorrow comes close.

For reference, I have created a page which lists all major severe weather indices and what the numbers mean. You can see from that page that the numbers above are alarming.

nam308bs

NAM LIFTED INDEX SATURDAY EVENING

nam308as

NAM CAPE SATURDAY EVENING

(The graphics above, and thousands more, are available on our Pro site).

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WeatherMatrix
Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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