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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

Models Point to NYC Hurricane on Anniversary

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Sep 22, 2008 9:27 AM EST | Updated Sep 23, 2008 9:11 AM EST

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There's nothing like meteorological irony. On the anniversary of the 1938 "Long Island Express" hurricane that hit New York City, several Forecast Models are predicting a storm to take a similar track and make landfall in that area this weekend. Now, we're far from a model consensus on this, and we're talking a Category 1 hurricane, not a 3 as the LIE was, but I thought it was worth mentioning.

AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO USERS READ NOW | 30-DAY FREE TRIAL) said in his blog:

DISCLAIMER: This blog is written periodically and may not contain the latest information on specific storms, or may contain unofficial information. More up-to-date information is available in our Hurricane Center (PREMIUM | PRO) (including the official AccuWeather.com EyePath™ for storms), in our Weather Headlines (at right), on our Breaking Weather News Page (PREMIUM | PRO, and from official government channels. IGNORE THIS BLOG for protection of life/property!
uf1938b

I have blogged about the Long Island Express before in 2006 when Bastardi warned "it could happen tomorrow" and later that year on the Anniversary, so I won't rehash all that here. You can also visit the WikiPedia entry for in-depth info on that storm.

Below are the model runs (winds are in knots):

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AccuWeather Weather Blogs Models Point to NYC Hurricane on Anniversary
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