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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

Kevin Goes to Cali, NYC; Ignacio to Alaska, Fred to Spain

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Sep 3, 2015 11:43 AM EDT | Updated Sep 3, 2015 1:15 PM EDT

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According to some of the ATCF wacky computer forecast models, current tropical systems in the East Pacific and Atlantic are on their way to some exotic places. The one that caught my eye first was Hurricane Ignacio (north of Hawaii) which seems bound for Alaska (or at least British Columbia):

590x442_09031546_ep12_combo

No worries though -- it will have transformed into an Extratropical (or, regular) low pressure system by then, due to the cold Pacific waters.

Next, take a look at (former) Hurricane Fred, which struck the Cape Verde islands (which was rare), and, several models say, may be vacationing off the coast of Spain in a couple weeks:

590x442_09031550_al06_combo

Even though hits on Spain from Tropical Storms have occurred, he's already weakened considerably, and the majority of models show him staying out over the ocean (then probably dissipating or turning into an extratropical low pressure system).

And last, but not least, Tropical Storm Kevin, where three models are showing him hitting California and one -- LOL -- shows him over New York City at the end of the forecast period.

590x442_09031548_ep14_combo

Remember, these forecasts go out 15 days, well beyond the ATCF skill set, and most of the destination points will probably be wrong. Even if Kevin did make it to the East Coast, unlike former-Hurricane Ike, he'd be a shadow of his former self. He likely won't even reach hurricane strength in the East Pacific, where he has his best chance to be a big-boy storm.

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WeatherMatrix
Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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