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Joe Bastardi and the Carolina Hurricane?

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Jul 18, 2008 10:39 AM EDT | Updated Sep 22, 2008 1:54 PM EDT

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UPDATE: Comments from Joe Lundberg and NHC added to the bottom of this entry.

ORIGINAL ENTRY:

Here's a look at the surface wind pattern (WRF Initialization) from AccuWeather.com RadarPlus at 10:30 AM. Note the existence of strong, possibly tropical storm-force winds in the eastern sections of the storm. The circle in southeast North Carolina is where I'll be next weekend - guess I'll be a week too late! Something similar happened back in 2004 when I *was* there... called Hurricane Alex. Check out radar, maps and photos that I took here. Good times!

rp7-18-2008_10-27-13_AM

WIND SPEED, LIGHTNING

rpb7-18-2008_10-45-09_AM

VISIBLE SATELLITE, WIND SPEED, LIGHTNING

DISCLAIMER: This blog is written periodically and may not contain the latest information on specific storms, or may contain unofficial information. More up-to-date information is available in our Hurricane Center (PREMIUM | PRO) (including the official AccuWeather.com EyePath™ for storms), in our Weather Headlines (at right), on our Breaking Weather News Page (PREMIUM | PRO, and from official government channels. IGNORE THIS BLOG for protection of life/property!

AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO USERS READ NOW | 30-DAY FREE TRIAL) said in his blog:

TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE THREAT INCREASING FOR CAROLINAS.

The rapid organization of banding features of the system that we are jumping on has me concerned that this could be more than just a tropical storm if it reaches its full potential. I don't see any reason for this to go ashore for 60 to perhaps even 84 hours and the water is warm, the outflow excellent and the overall pattern is such that this is a great case for development in close. The call here is for a tropical storm or perhaps hurricane to be within 50 miles of the NC coast by Sunday.

Our Breaking News Story and Atlantic Hurricane Discussion (see links above) are more conservative, saying:

AccuWeather.com meteorologist Joe Lundberg (PREMIUM | PRO) says in his blog:

The NHC [JessePedia] doesn't seem concerned, saying:

Report a Typo

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WeatherMatrix
Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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