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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

HYPE: GFS NE Snow, DGEX FL Hurricane

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Oct 2, 2007 12:51 PM EDT | Updated Oct 3, 2007 12:04 AM EDT

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The DGEX, which you may remember from its outlandish predictions of a tropical storm making landfall 4 times earlier this week, has FINALLY come into line with the GFS and NAM in the latest run, hot off the presses. By that I mean that it predicts a weak low pressure drifting in the Gulf. As late as the previous run, it was still up to its antics, predicting a hurricane that looped off the Tampa coast, went over Key West, fell to sub-980mb, then across southern Florida into the Atlantic. Here's what it looked like at its strongest:

ABOUT THE HYPE: Use at your own risk! It's all for fun. Forecast Models predict outlandish things, which occasionally come true. This is just the hype; see other bloggers for pontification. All images shown are from AccuWeather.com Professional. If you see other hype, email me.

But now, onto the first Winter hype for the Eastern U.S. The GFS predicted on it's 00Z run last night an upper-Midwest snowstorm which drops light snow as far south as Kentucky on October 14th.

Last night's 06Z run showed that system providing moderate snow to northern New England late on the 14th and light snow ALMOST as far south as New York City. Of course, the GFS is known for making things too cold and wet during the second week, but it's good to know that yes, Virginia, I mean, Pennsylvania, we will have a winter. Speaking of that, Meteo Madness Man (PREMIUM | PRO) issued his winter forecast yesterday. AccuWeather's official winter forecast will be out in the middle of the month.

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Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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