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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

HYPE: Could October NE Snow Happen?

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Oct 3, 2007 7:09 PM EDT | Updated Oct 4, 2007 5:39 PM EDT

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UPDATE: The 00Z run backed off on the storm, moving the snow further north, but the 06Z is back on board. We may see this repeated; this is probably because the 06Z/18Z Weird Runs [JessePedia] are not as "smart" as the 00Z/12Z runs.

ORIGINAL POST:

As mentioned earlier this week, the GFS is back to its old (seasonal) tricks from last fall, predicting snow and cold for northern New England on Day 15. Here's the 12Z run:

ABOUT THE HYPE: Use at your own risk! It's all for fun. Forecast Models predict outlandish things, which occasionally come true. This is just the hype; see other bloggers for pontification. All images shown are from AccuWeather.com Professional. If you see other hype, email me.

While a New England snowstorm is unlikely this early in the season, it does speak to the idea that we are in for below normal temperatures mid-month. AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO) explains:

A mid-October snowfall in northern New England is not outside the realm of historical probability, in fact we've passed the record earliest snowfall date in the highest mountains. Here's a map:

EarliestDateSnows

You can get more maps like this in an interactive site by NCDC.

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Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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