Andrea Weakens, But Hail, Wind In NC

Interest in Subtropical Storm Andrea is waning this morning, as she has weakened considerably. Only detectable now on the Visible satellite (no longer on Infrared or even Water Vapor), the storm has very little rain associated with it. The Model Spread [JessePedia] is still insanity, with spider-like tracks that go in every direction. Our general feeling here is that it will move slowly towards Florida, and then (Joe Bastardi says) move out to sea. That is, if it even stays together and doesn't dissipate. The NHC said in their Subtropical Storm Advisory this morning: "ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE-HALF TO ONE INCH." I'm not sure that was even worth mentioning!

There are a couple of graphics below showing her effects today, but I would caution you that they are a worst-case, afternoon scenario, for example we show thunderstorms from Florida to Virginia, which did happen yesterday afternoon (causing quarter sized hail and downed power lines in North Carolina). But this morning, nothing is cooking and the coast is, well, clear. This may change later today however as heating over the land causes thunderstorms to break out. I wouldn't underestimate the power of the Rip Currents, it doesn't even take a storm to produce those and they are very dangerous.

People are asking, of course, how rare it is to have a named storm in May. It's pretty rare. I've done some research on this and will present it later today.