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    Elliot Abrams

    Sunny Scenes

    By Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather chief meteorologist
    7/10/2012, 4:50:57 AM

    Tuesday 9:30 a.m.

    In this video, we look at the present locations of clouds and rain, then explore model projections of what will happen between today and early next week.


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    For vacationers, fine weather is the rule from Burlington, Iowa, to Burlington, Vt. However, the scene underneath the canvas of clear sky is much different from place to place. In northern New England, where rain has been plentiful recently, some fields have been soggy from all the rain. In contrast, many farms from Ohio to Iowa have become parched and unproductive because of very dry weather since spring. These pictures serve as examples of what it can look like under these conditions (though the pictures are not current and were not taken for this story)

    There have been some articles recently talking about the upcoming winter. It seems our long-range people are leaning toward an El Nino. This would bring substantial rain to parts of the Southwest, and there can be storms near the East Coast. Often, El Nino winters are warmer than average across the Northeast. However, if high latitude blocking develops, the storm track can be shoved southward and the Middle and North Atlantic states can then get significant snowfalls. The European models are not predicting such blocking, but blocking patterns are sometimes not successfully predictable more than a week or two in advance.

    The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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    Elliot Abrams