Hurricane Lane is currently centered around 600 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, and is moving west around 12 mph. The maximum sustained winds have increasing to 130 mph, which makes Lane a category 4 hurricane. Lane should remain a category 4 hurricane into Tuesday morning then will start to gradually weaken later Tuesday and through the rest of the week as it starts to encounter increased wind shear and more stable air.
Lane is currently on an almost due westerly course. But, as high pressure to the north steering the hurricane starts to weaken, Lane will gradually move on a more west-northwest course later tomorrow and then on a more northwesterly course Wednesday through Friday. This will bring the center of the hurricane to within about 200 miles from the coast of the Big Island of Hawaii, during Wednesday and Wednesday night. The core circulation and the main cloud shield around the hurricane will pass south and southwest of the Big Island of Hawaii at first. However, it now appears as if the storm will turn enough to the north to perhaps bring some of the stronger wind field and rain close to and maybe over some islands. Details on these potentially direct impacts will be highly dependent on the exact track Lane takes. As a result a tropical storm watch could be issued for parts of and perhaps all of the Hawaiian Islands within the next day or two.
Large swells generated by Lane will create rough and dangerous surf, mostly over south- and east-facing coastal areas of the Big Island and the island of Maui starting during the next 24 hours. But then there will be an increase in surf over all Hawaiian Islands later this week. That increase in surf will start to impact all of the islands due to the expected more northwest track. These swells will bring a rough and more dangerous surf to west and southwest facing coastal areas later this week and through the upcoming weekend. All residents and interests on the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor the movement of Lane.
Future tropical development is not expected across the rest of the Central and all of the Eastern Pacific Basin through at least Saturday of this coming weekend.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski; edited by Meteorologist Brett Edwards
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 202319 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 20 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Despite weakening and taking a track south of the Big Island, Major Hurricane Lane will still stir dangerous seas across the Hawaiian Islands this week.
In the distant footsteps of Hurricane Hector, Major Hurricane Lane is forecast to take a similar path just south of the Big Island of Hawaii next week.
John avoided a landfall in Mexico but will continue to impact the Baja California Peninsula on Thursday.
As thousands escape to the beach to catch a break from the heat, surf will build to dangerous levels along the Southern California coast into this weekend.
As AccuWeather meteorologists predicted, Major Hurricane Hector, a Category 4 storm as of Thursday local time, passed well south of Hawaii, including the Big Island, at midweek.
Hector may track close enough to Hawaii to bring some rain and gusty winds during the middle to latter part of this week. Added hazards to the area affected by Kīlauea Volcano are expected to be minimal.
Carlotta will elevate the risk of flooding in southern Mexico into Sunday night.
Tropical Rainstorm Bud will deliver enough rain to temporarily ease wildfire concerns but may also cause isolated flash flooding and mudslides in parts of the southwestern United States this weekend.