Tropical Storm Kenneth is about 1,400 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California and continues to strengthen based on recent satellite imagery. Heavy convection has continued to develop early this morning around the circulation center. With light wind shear and very warm water, Kenneth is expected to continue to strengthen over the next few days.
Kenneth will continue to progress off to the west-northwest and then veer in a more northwesterly direction by early next week. Kenneth is expected to acquire hurricane status by Sunday, but then begin to weaken as it enters cooler water.
Kenneth will not affect any land masses and remain over the open ocean. It will remain quiet for at least the next 24 hours over the remainder of the Eastern Pacific.
We are also monitoring a broad area of low pressure a few hundred miles southeast of Hawaii. There is some potential for this disturbance to become better organized, but largely unlikely since it is in an area not conducive for development.
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 261136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jul 26 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Greg, located more than 1000 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii, on Hurricane Hilary, located several hundred miles south of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Hurricane Irwin, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south of Mexico in a day or two. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next few days due to strong upper-level winds. These winds might become more conducive for some development this weekend as Hurricane Hilary moves farther away from the disturbance. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Hilary and Irwin, both former hurricanes, will enhance surf for the U.S. Open of Surfing, but beachgoers will face dangerous conditions.
Despite weakening, Fernanda will still bring rough surf and downpours to parts of Hawaii through Monday.
Large waves from former Hurricane Eugene will reach the coast of Southern California and threaten bathers and boaters on Thursday.
Despite escaping the worst of newly-formed Hurricane Dora, southern Mexico will still face locally flooding downpours and rough seas into Tuesday.
The third eastern Pacific tropical system of the year will threaten southern Mexico with flooding rainfall into the middle of the week.
When a hurricane crashes onto shore with destructive winds and deadly storm surge, its threat to clean water supply is a major concern.
While the powerful, destructive wind speeds of an approaching cyclone are used to estimate the storm's category, storm surge is often the greatest threat to both lives and property.