The tropical Atlantic has no organized tropical activity at this time; however, an area of low pressure is starting to re-develop
A broad area of low pressure is over the northern Atlantic, about 1050 miles northeast of Bermuda or 780 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. This system is designated as Invest 98L. This area of low pressure is starting to reform to the east closer to a large cluster of showers and thunderstorms still displaced to the east and south of the center of circulation. Despite the strong vertical wind shear causing this displacement, the system is over marginally warm water and the system could acquire some tropical characteristics and be classified as a subtropical storm within the next 24-48 hours. All this could start to happen as 98L starts to move more to the northeast. The vertical wind shear is expected to decrease but not go away. So, the upper level winds over the system will either prevent or limit development. As a result, even if 98L were to develop, it probably would not become a real strong system and it would remain far removed from any land mass.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski
785 ABNT20 KNHC 142321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large non-tropical area of low pressure located about 750 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, is producing showers and thunderstorms over the eastern and southern portions of its circulation as it interacts with a strong upper-level trough. While satellite imagery indicates that the low currently lacks a well- defined center, this system could acquire some additional subtropical characteristics during the next day or so. Later this week, the low is expected to move northeastward over colder waters and merge with a frontal zone over the northern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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