The GFS which arrived as I was recording the videos below looks more ominous. It will be interesting to see the ensembles and non-U. S. models and whether they shift or dance around with their solutions.
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There's a lot of weather to talk about down south this week, from heavy rains to drought, and hot and quiet weather to severe thunderstorms and tornadoes!
Warm followed by storms followed by cooler followed by warmer followed by storms; you get a little of everything down south this time of year.
Areas near a stalled front will see some rain the next few days; a storm will move through this weekend and cause rain with a risk for severe thunderstorms.
A front moving in from the north will bring needed rain to some areas and suppress the summery warmth; a more substantial storm looks to bring severe weather to the region next weekend.
Most of the Southeast will stay dry for the next several days, while storms deliver glancing blows to parts of Texas and Oklahoma.
Quiet weather continues in the Southeast as it gets even warmer, storms will cause problems in Texas.
Warm and mostly dry in the Southeast for a while, but stormy at times in Texas and Oklahoma.
Generally quiet this weekend, mostly quiet in the Southeast early next week while Texas and Oklahoma get stormy.