Tropical Storm Fred is located about 300 miles away from the Cape Verde Islands this morning. Fred will strengthen into a strong tropical storm during the next 48 hours as it tracks closer to the islands. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will develop ahead of Fred today followed by increasing wind and rain late on Sunday night and Monday. The greatest impacts will occur tomorrow and tomorrow night with heavy rain that can lead to deadly flash flooding and mudslides, and strong winds causing damage to trees and power lines. Drier air and stronger wind shear is located just north of the Cape Verde Islands and eventually, these environmental conditions will have a negative impact on the tropical cyclone, but probably not until Tuesday. It's not out of the question that this tropical cyclone could bring hurricane conditions to the Cape Verde Islands.
Meanwhile, Tropical Rainstorm Erika will track into the eastern Gulf today. The system will be interacting with an upper-level trough of low pressure over the eastern Gulf pushing flooding rain northward across the Florida Peninsula today through tomorrow. Rain from Erika will spread from south to north today bringing flooding downpours, especially to the western half of the peninsula. Tropical Rainstorm Erika should track north along and just off the west coast of Florida tomorrow and on Tuesday. This should spread heavy rain to the north into Georgia and South Carolina.
A tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles shows no signs of strengthening, but it will produce showers over the Windward Islands later today.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Bob Smerbeck and Michael LeSeney
557 ABNT20 KNHC 301132 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Fred, located a few hundred miles east-southeast of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean. A trough of low pressure associated with the remnants of Erika is producing areas of heavy rain over portions of south Florida, the Florida Keys, and Cuba. Although there are no signs of redevelopment at this time, upper-level winds could become marginally favorable for tropical cyclone formation over the next day or so. Regardless of this system's prospects for regeneration, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to spread northwestward and then northward across Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico later today and Monday. Additional information on this system can be found in marine forecasts and local forecast products issued by the National Weather Service and the meteorological service of Cuba. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi