Tropical Development Unlikely Across Atlantic

8/2/2015 1:50:00 PM

There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic Basin at this time. A weak low pressure center that is currently several hundred miles to the west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to move westward and latest satellite imagery shows this area of disturbed weather is poorly organized. It is moving through an area of dry, stable air that is preventing consistent thunderstorm development.

Despite being in a low shear environment and over reasonably warm sea-surface temperatures, the dry, stable air continues to prevent further development. As the system moves farther west it will encounter deeper dry and stable air. As a result we are not expecting this feature to develop any further.

Meanwhile, there is a weak area of low pressure centered just off the coast of northwestern Florida. Due to unfavorable upper level winds and the system's proximity to land, tropical development of this system appears unlikely prior to it moving onshore in the coming days.

The rest of the Atlantic Basin will remain fairly quiet over the next several days.

By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski. Updated by Meteorologist Rich Jaworski

2015 Atlantic Storms

Ana Bill Claudette Danny Erika Fred
Grace Henri Ida Joaquin Kate Larry
Mindy Nicholas Odette Peter Rose Sam
Teresa Victor Wanda

Atlantic Basin Maps

National Hurricane Center Outlook

NHC Atlantic Activity

ABNT20 KNHC 021736

200 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A well-defined low pressure system has formed over Apalachee Bay in
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and is producing limited shower
activity near the center.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for development while the low moves northeastward across
north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast during
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain

Hurricane Guillermo is a Category 2 Hurricane located at 14.5 N, -143.5 W with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, gusting to 125 mph more >

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