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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

Model Maps Turn to Snow for Northeast

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Mar 14, 2007 12:21 PM EDT | Updated Mar 14, 2007 4:49 PM EDT

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The migration of the Forecast Models [JessePedia] from a rainstorm to a snowstorm in the Northeast this week has been remarkable. Only yesterday morning I was calling the GFS's prediction of snow with this storm "hype" but this morning most models are aligned with a solution that brings snow to New York City and Boston (of course these are the Weird Runs [JessePedia] -- I'll be curious to see how the 12Z runs look this afternoon). All maps from our Pro site.

I present to you the NMM prediction for Friday evening:

And the GFS which (typically) has a colder solution with more snow for NYC and Philly:

The DGEX model only starts forecasting at hour 84 but the tail end of the storm (Saturday evening) appears to have a similar solution as the others.

Meteo Madness Man (PREMIUM | PRO) says the European model is on board as well. He also has these words of wisdom, which I echo:

From other forecasters, Elliot Abrams (PREMIUM | PRO) is just getting back from vacation so I'm curious what he will say... and AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO) predicts the models will disagree again before Saturday. AccuWeather.com Premium's Joe Lundberg (PREMIUM | PRO) explained in his blog yesterday exactly what features will come into play:

Our official forecast map says rain for the major cities but warns that there is the possibility of snow finding itself as far south as the mid-Atlantic states:

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WeatherMatrix
Jesse Ferrell
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Social Media Manager Jesse Ferrell covers extreme weather and the intersection of meteorology and social media.
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