HYPE: Models On East Coast Hurricane

Nearly every computer model is picking up on a Tropical Storm forming off the Southeast Coast this week.

Several are moving it into the Carolinas. Indeed the NMM model shows a formidable (probably deep Category 2 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale [WikiPedia] at under 870 mb) storm offshore but never gives it a landfall:

The DGEX teases the East Coast with a hurricane this weekend, clipping Massachusetts on the 10th. There are so many isobars packed in there it's hard to tell what the lowest pressure is, but it looks like below 986 mb, which is near Category 1 strength.

And that's not all It then clips the Carolinas with sub-998 mb Low on Sept. 15th.

The GFS takes a sub-1004 mb Low into Hatteras this weekend, then moves up coast not losing much steam into New England. The JMA puts a sub-1008 mb low off coast this weekend and the NAVY NOGAPS barely acknowledges the storm at all (as usual).

Because of all this model disagreement, our official graphic for today couldn't be more vague:

-- AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO)