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Weather Blogs / WeatherMatrix

Hype: Japanese Monster, Sleetstorm

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Oct 25, 2006 2:44 PM EDT | Updated Oct 26, 2006 5:24 PM EDT

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Monday's GFS hype on this weekend's storm is somewhat reduced today, looking at the overnight model runs of the Forecast Models [JessePedia].

gfs1025bs

GFS Model (Map shows the maximum southern geographical extent of snowfall)

The coverage of snowfall is the same, but viewing the loop you notice that less moderate snow is predicted and the duration of snowfall, especially on the southern extent, is greatly reduced.

The DGEX has also given up completely on any Eastern snowstorm this weekend, saying there will be no snow at all outside of the southeastern fringe of the precip.

dgex1025as

DGEX Model (Map shows the maximum southern geographical extent of snowfall)

AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi (PRO) points out in his summary today that the JMA (Japanese Model) is the only one that is supporting the idea of a superstorm this weekend, putting a 960 mb low pressure system off northern Maine (the equivalent of a Category 3 Hurricane according to Saffir Simpson [Wikipedia]):

So what's the next hype? The GFS is predicting a sleetstorm of historic proportions (you laugh at that but I once got 3-4 inches of pure sleet when I lived in NC), along with some heavy snow, over the mid-Atlantic states on November 9th.

gfs1025as
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