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[CASI] 1998 Tropical Season: Atlantic Hurricane Mitch

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather meteorologist and senior weather editor

Published Oct 22, 1998 12:52 PM EST

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NOTE: This information was previously published on my "Central Atlantic Storm Investigators Tropical Weather" website in 1998. This page contains a screenshot, and the actual text, from this special report.

10/22/98 1700E - TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORMS SUDDENLY IN GULF, TO BE HURRICANE IN 36 HOURS...
10/23/98 1100E - TROPICAL STORM MITCH EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND BECOME A HURRICANE... CURRENTLY IN IN SOUTHERN GULF NEAR SOUTH AMERICA...
10/23/98 1700E - TROPICAL STORM MITCH NOT MOVING... EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND BECOME A HURRICANE... CURRENTLY IN IN SOUTHERN GULF NEAR SOUTH AMERICA...
10/24/98 2000E - AS SUDDENLY AS HE FORMED, MITCH IS NOW A HURRICANE OF CATEGORY III TYPE HEADING SLOWLY NNW FROM THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN...
10/25/98 1100E - HURRICANE MITCH A STRONG CAT 3 STORM WITH WINDS OF 130 MPH MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NNW... FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER: A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COLOMBIAN TERRITORIAL ISLANDS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
10/25/98 1100E - HURRICANE MITCH A STRONG CAT 3 STORM WITH WINDS OF 130 MPH MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NNW... FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER: A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COLOMBIAN TERRITORIAL ISLANDS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
10/25/98 1300E - STRONG HURRICANE MITCH NOW AT 145MPH... COMPARED TO MAX STRENGTHS OF PAST HURRICANES: GILBERT - 185, HUGO - 160, ANDREW - 155... STILL HEADING SLOWLY NW... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COLOMBIAN TERRITORIAL ISLANDS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
10/25/98 1600E - STRONG HURRICANE MITCH NOW AT 150MPH... COMPARED TO MAX STRENGTHS OF PAST HURRICANES: GILBERT - 185, HUGO - 160, ANDREW - 155... STILL HEADING SLOWLY NW... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COLOMBIAN TERRITORIAL ISLANDS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
10/25/98 1600E - STRONG HURRICANE MITCH NOW AT 150MPH... COMPARED TO MAX STRENGTHS OF PAST HURRICANES: GILBERT - 185, HUGO - 160, ANDREW - 155... STILL HEADING SLOWLY NW... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COLOMBIAN TERRITORIAL ISLANDS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
10/25/98 1600E - STRONG HURRICANE MITCH NOW AT 150MPH... COMPARED TO MAX STRENGTHS OF PAST HURRICANES: GILBERT - 185, HUGO - 160, ANDREW - 155... STILL HEADING SLOWLY NW... FROM THE NHC: ...POWERFUL MITCH CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THEIR COUNTRY. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA ARE DISCONTINUED.
10/25/98 1900E - ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MITCH MOVING WESTWARD... MITCH AT 150MPH, A STRONG CATEGORY IV STORM... A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ..
10/26/98 0900E - ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MITCH BECOMES STRONGEST HURRICANE OF THE SEASON... MITCH NOW AT 155MPH SUSTAINED WINDS... MOVING WEST AT 7MPH... FROM THE NHC: A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
10/26/98 1300E - MITCH HAS SHATTERED THE CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD BY INCREASING TO 170MPH SUSTAINED WINDS. THis IS THE STRONGEST HURRICANE TO THREATEN LAND IN A LONG TIME... KEEP IN MIND THAT THE STRONGEST HURRICANE EVER IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN WAS 185MPH... BUT HURRICANE ANDREW WAS A MERE 135MPH ESTIMATED WHEN IT DECIMATED SOUTHERN FLORIDA... FROM THE NHC: ...POWERFUL MITCH STRENGTHENS TO 170 MPH... CATEGORY FIVE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ALL INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
10/26/98 2000E - MITCH HAS SHATTERED THE CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD BY INCREASING TO 180MPH SUSTAINED WINDS. THis IS THE STRONGEST HURRICANE TO THREATEN LAND IN A LONG TIME... KEEP IN MIND THAT HURRICANE ANDREW WAS A MERE 135MPH ESTIMATED WHEN IT DECIMATED SOUTHERN FLORIDA... CURRENT FORECASTS ARE FOR VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... AT 8PM SWAN ISLAND WAS IN THE EYE... FROM THE NHC: ...EYE OF CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MITCH MOVING OVER SWAN ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS... AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BELIZE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ON THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. ** NEW!! How Does Mitch Stack Up Historically? **
** NEW!! What do we know about Swan Island?**
10/26/98 2000E - MITCH HAS SHATTERED THE CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD BY INCREASING TO 180MPH SUSTAINED WINDS. THis IS THE STRONGEST HURRICANE TO THREATEN LAND IN A LONG TIME... KEEP IN MIND THAT HURRICANE ANDREW WAS A MERE 135MPH ESTIMATED WHEN IT DECIMATED SOUTHERN FLORIDA... CURRENT FORECASTS ARE FOR VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... AT 8PM SWAN ISLAND** WAS IN THE EYE... FROM THE NHC: ...EYE OF CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MITCH MOVING OVER SWAN ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS... AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BELIZE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ON THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
10/26/98 2200E - MITCH HAS SHATTERED THE CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD BY INCREASING TO 180MPH SUSTAINED WINDS. THis IS THE STRONGEST HURRICANE TO THREATEN LAND IN A LONG TIME... KEEP IN MIND THAT HURRICANE ANDREW WAS A MERE 135MPH ESTIMATED WHEN IT DECIMATED SOUTHERN FLORIDA... CURRENT FORECASTS ARE FOR VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... AT 8PM SWAN ISLAND** WAS IN THE EYE... FROM THE NHC: ...EYE OF CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MITCH MOVING OVER SWAN ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS... AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BELIZE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ON THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
10/27/98 0700E - ...SUPER HURRICANE MITCH AT 180MPH CONTINUES TO THE WEST... FROM THE NHC: HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...BELIZE...THE COAST OF GUATEMALA...THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
10/27/98 1000E - ...HURRICANE MITCH WEAKENS TO 165... BUT IS STILL A CATEGORY FIVE STORM... ACCUWEAHTER NOW PREDICTS A LANDFALL IN BELIZE WHILE THE HURRICANE CENTER AIMS IT OVER 100 MILES TO THE NORTH... SEE FORECAST GRAPHICS BELOW... FROM THE NHC: ...MITCH REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...MOVING SLOWLY... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
10/27/98 1200E - ...HURRICANE MITCH STRENGTHENS TO 170... STILL A CATEGORY FIVE STORM... ACCUWEATHER NOW PREDICTS A LANDFALL IN BELIZE WHILE THE HURRICANE CENTER AIMS IT OVER 100 MILES TO THE NORTH... SEE FORECAST GRAPHICS BELOW... FROM THE NHC: ...POWERFUL MITCH STRENGTHENS TO 170 MPH... CATEGORY FIVE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ALL INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES ...90 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SWAN ISLAND. THis POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST OF EASTERN HONDURAS. MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THis GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
10/27/98 1300E - ...HURRICANE MITCH DECREASES TO 155MPH... ACCUWEATHER NOW PREDICTS A LANDFALL IN BELIZE WHILE THE HURRICANE CENTER AIMS IT OVER 100 MILES TO THE NORTH... SEE FORECAST GRAPHICS BELOW... NOTES: THE US GOVERNMENT'S WEATHER SATELLITE GOES-8 MALFUNCTIONED AND WAS SHUTDOWN THis MORNING. FOR THis REASON MANY SATELLITE LINKS BELOW MAY BE HEAD OR LATE. DETAILS HERE. ALSO, THE CASI TRACKER IS OFFLINE UNTIL THis EVENING DUE TO CORRUPT PLOT COORDINATES. FROM THE NHC: ...MITCH WEAKENS BUT REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SLOWLY-MOVING HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF LA CEIBA HONDURAS AND ABOUT 80 MILES...150 KM... NORTH OF THE NEAREST HONDURAS COAST. MITCH IS MOVING SLOWLY...TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR ...AND A SLOW WEST-SOUTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
10/27/98 1600E - ...HURRICANE MITCH DECREASES TO 155MPH... NOTES: THE US GOVERNMENT'S WEATHER SATELLITE GOES-8 MALFUNCTIONED AND WAS SHUTDOWN THis MORNING. FOR THis REASON MANY SATELLITE LINKS BELOW MAY BE HEAD OR LATE. DETAILS HERE. ALSO, THE CASI TRACKER IS OFFLINE UNTIL THis EVENING DUE TO CORRUPT PLOT COORDINATES. FROM THE NHC: ..MITCH REMAINS A VERY DANGEROUS SLOWLY-MOVING HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...NORTHEAST OF LA CEIBO HONDURAS. THis POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...NORTH OF THE NEAREST HONDURAS COAST. MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR... AND A WEST-SOUTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
10/27/98 1900E - ...HURRICANE MITCH DECREASES TO 150MPH... BATTERING COAST OF HONDURAS... NOTES: THE US GOVERNMENT'S WEATHER SATELLITE GOES-8 MALFUNCTIONED AND WAS SHUTDOWN THis MORNING. FOR THis REASON MANY SATELLITE LINKS BELOW MAY BE HEAD OR LATE. DETAILS HERE. FROM THE NHC: ...VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MITCH NEARING THE COAST OF HONDURAS... ...BATTERING THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND THE BAY ISLANDS OFFSHORE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM..EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF ROATAN AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 MILES...95 KM...NORTH OF THE NEAREST HONDURAS COAST. THis POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM NORTHEAST OF LA CEIBA HONDURAS. MITCH HAS MEANDERED SLOWLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND MAY MEANDER FURTHER TONIGHT. A SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS COMING VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ONSHORE OVER HONDURAS AND THE ADJACENT BAY ISLANDS. HAM RADIO REPORTS INDICATE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE ON THE ISLAND OF ROATAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH SOME FURTHER WEAKENING COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MITCH IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN A VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
10/27/98 2200E - ...HURRICANE MITCH DECREASES TO 140MPH... BATTERING COAST OF HONDURAS... AND ISLANDS... LAST REPORT FROM ROATAN WAS A SUSTAINED WIND OF 69MPH AND RAIN THis AFTERNOON AT 4PM... NOTES: THE US GOVERNMENT'S WEATHER SATELLITE GOES-8 MALFUNCTIONED AND WAS SHUTDOWN THis MORNING. IT WAS BROUGHT BACK INTO SERVICE THis EVENING AT 9PM. FOR THis REASON MANY SATELLITE LINKS BELOW MAY BE HEAD OR LATE. DETAILS OF LAST NIGHT'S OUTAGE HERE AND DETAILS OF THE LATEST STATUS HERE. FROM THE NHC: AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA. THis POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS. MITCH HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND LITTLE MOTION IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT. A SLOW...GENERALLY WESTWARD... MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER HONDURAS AND THE ADJACENT BAY ISLANDS. HAM RADIO REPORTS INDICATE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ON THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA AND ROATAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH SOME FURTHER WEAKENING MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... MITCH IS LIKELY TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...
10/28/98 1000E - 120MPH MITCH NOW MOVING FOR NOW... FROM THE NHC: ...MITCH POUNDING RELENTLESSLY THE COAST AND ISLANDS OF HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES...35 KM...EAST OF THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA...AND ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS. MITCH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY THis MORNING AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... MORE...
10/28/98 1300E - 120MPH MITCH NOT MOVING... FROM THE NHC: ...MITCH POUNDING RELENTLESSLY THE COAST AND ISLANDS OF HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES ...35 KM...EAST OF THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA...AND ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS. MITCH REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. MORE...
10/28/98 1300E - 120MPH MITCH NOT MOVING... FROM THE NHC: ...MITCH POUNDING RELENTLESSLY THE COAST AND ISLANDS OF HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES ...35 KM...EAST OF THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA...AND ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS. MITCH REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. MORE...
10/28/98 1700E - 115MPH MITCH NOT MOVING... FROM THE NHC: 4 PM EST WED OCT 28 1998 ...MITCH STILL POUNDING NORTHERN HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA...ABOUT 30 MILES NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS. MITCH HAS BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... MORE...
10/28/98 2000E - ...MITCH WEAKENING BUT STILL POUNDING NORTHERN HONDURAS... FROM THE NHC: 8 PM EST WED OCT 28 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA. THis POSITION IS ABOUT 25 MILES EAST OF THE ISLAND OF ROATAN...AND ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS. MITCH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. MORE...
10/28/98 2200E - ...MITCH WEAKENING BUT STILL POUNDING NORTHERN HONDURAS... FROM THE NHC: 10 PM EST WED OCT 28 1998 ...MITCH REMAINS AT A VIRTUAL STANDSTILL NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis DANGEROUS HURRICANE. AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA. THis POSITION IS ABOUT 25 MILES EAST OF THE ISLAND OF ROATAN...AND ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS. MITCH HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. MORE...
10/29/98 0800E - MINIMAL HURRICANE MITCH CONTINUES TO BRING WIND AND RAIN TO HONDURAS... FROM THE NHC: 7 AM EST THU OCT 29 1998 ...MITCH STATIONARY NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THis DANGEROUS HURRICANE. MORE...
10/29/98 1100E - MINIMAL HURRICANE MITCH CONTINUES TO BRING WIND AND RAIN TO HONDURAS... FROM THE NHC: 10 AM EST THU OCT 29 1998 ...MITCH WEAKENING ALONG THE COAST OF HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF THESE AREAS. MORE...
10/29/98 1700E - TROPICAL STORM MITCH AT 60MPH... STILL TO BRING 25" OR MORE RAIN TO THE HONDURAN AREA... ** How Does Mitch Stack Up Historically? **
10/29/98 2200 - MITCH NOW ONLY 50 mph...
10/30/98 0700E - MITCH A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM...
10/30/98 1300E - MITCH A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM... STILL BRINGNING HEAVY RAINS...
10/30/98 1600E - ...OBSERVATION FROM THE ISLAND OF ROATAN INDICATES 60MPH SUSTAINED WINDS... BUT MITCH IS STILL A TROPICAL STORM...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
10/30/98 1900E - ...TROPICAL STORM MITCH INLAND OVER HONDURAS...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
10/30/98 2200E - ...TROPICAL STORM MITCH INLAND OVER HONDURAS...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
10/31/98 1800E - MITCH A DEPRESSION ONLY... HEADING TOWARDS PACIFIC... EXPECTED TO TURN NWWARD AND DISSAPEAR OVER MOUNTAINS, PER TWC... HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE IN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA... ESTIMATES SAY OVER 48" OF RAIN HAS FALLEN THERE SINCE MITCH MOVED IN...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
10/31/98 2200E ... MITCH A DEPRESSION ONLY... AFTER DUMPING AN ESTIMATED 48" OF RAIN OVER HONDURAS... MITCH IS NOW OVER GUATEMALA MOVING WESTWARD...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
11/1/98 1200E - TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA... MOVING WESTWARD SLOWLY...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
11/1/98 1500E - LAST STATEMENT ISSUED ON MITCH WHICH HAS DISSIPATED...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE.
11/3/98 1600E - "THE MITCH IS BACK!" NO I'M NOT ELTON JOHN BUT THE MITCHis BACK, AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AT 4PM TODAY. IT IS HEADING TOWARDS THE YUCATAN TO BRING HEAVY RAINS IF NOT WINDS...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE. FROM THE NHC: 3 PM CST TUE NOV 03 1998 ...MITCH REGENERATES INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM... AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN. AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CITY OF CAMPECHE ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND ON THis TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 70 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MITCH IN NO WAY RESEMBLES THE INTENSE HURRICANE THAT IT WAS WHEN IT DEVASTATED PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA LAST WEEK. MITCH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BACK TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHEN IT MOVES OVER LAND. MORE...
11/3/98 2000E - "THE MITCH IS BACK!" NO I'M NOT ELTON JOHN BUT THE MITCH IS BACK, AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AT 4PM TODAY. IT IS HEADING TOWARDS THE YUCATAN TO BRING HEAVY RAINS IF NOT WINDS... THUS FAR MITCH HAS KILLED OVER 6300 PEOPLE WITH NEARLY 2000 STILL MISSING...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE. FROM THE NHC: 6 PM CST TUE NOV 03 1998 ...MITCH MOVING FASTER... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN. AT 6 PM CST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST. THis POSITION IS ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...VERY NEAR THE CITY OF CAMPECHE. MITCH IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST...NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THis MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THis TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 70 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MITCH IN NO WAY RESEMBLES THE INTENSE HURRICANE THAT IT WAS WHEN IT DEVASTATED PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA LAST WEEK. MITCH COULD WEAKEN BACK TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHILE IT IS OVER LAND. MORE...
11/3/98 2200E - "THE MITCH IS BACK!" NO I'M NOT ELTON JOHN BUT THE MITCH IS BACK, AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AT 4PM TODAY. IT IS HEADING TOWARDS THE YUCATAN TO BRING HEAVY RAINS IF NOT WINDS... THUS FAR MITCH HAS KILLED OVER 6300 PEOPLE WITH NEARLY 2000 STILL MISSING...
SEE CASI TROPICAL OBSERVATIONS PAGE. FROM THE NHC: 9 PM CST TUE NOV 03 1998 ...MITCH MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN. AT 9 PM CST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...NORTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR... AND THis DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THis TRACK ...THE CENTER OF MITCH WILL REMAIN OVER LAND TONIGHT AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE MITCH IS CENTERED OVER LAND AND THE SYSTEM COULD BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT. MORE...
11/4/98 0800E - ...MITCH A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA AFTER KILLING OVER 7000 IN CENTRAL AMERICA...
11/4/98 1100E - ...MITCH REFORMS INTO A TROPICAL STORM... HEADING TOWARDS SOUTHERN FLORIDA WITH HEAVY RAINS...
FROM THE NHC: 9 AM CST WED NOV 04 1998 ...MITCH REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... AT 9 AM CST...10 AM EST...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. MORE...
11/4/98 1300E - ...MITCH A TROPICAL STORM... HEADING TOWARDS SOUTHERN FLORIDA WITH HEAVY RAINS...
Keep an eye on it all with the CASI Tropical and South Florida Interactive Surface Observations.
FROM THE NHC: 1 PM EST WED NOV 04 1998 ...MITCH MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. MORE...
11/4/98 1600E - ...MITCH A TROPICAL STORM... ...HEAVY RAINS AND TORNADOES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...
Keep an eye on it all with the CASI Tropical and South Florida Interactive Surface Observations.
FROM THE NHC: 4 PM EST WED NOV 04 1998 ...HEAVY RAINS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. MORE...
11/4/98 2100E - ...MITCH A TROPICAL STORM... ...HEAVY RAINS AND TORNADOES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... MITCH NOW CLASSIFIED TO 50MPH... WIND GUSTS TO 59 MPH WERE REPORTED AT MOLASSES REEF OFF THE UPPER-FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS...
Keep an eye on it all with the CASI Tropical and South Florida Interactive Surface Observations.
FROM THE NHC: 10 PM EST WED NOV 04 1998 ...HEAVY RAINS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...AND FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. MORE...
11/5/95 0900E - ...MITCH INLAND OVER FLORIDA... SEE WEBCAMS...
FROM THE NHC: 7 AM EST THU NOV 05 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR LOCATION REFERENCE POINT... ...MITCH MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH... AND FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. MORE...
11/5/95 0900E - ...MITCH INLAND OVER FLORIDA... SEE WEBCAMS...
FROM THE NHC: 7 AM EST THU NOV 05 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR LOCATION REFERENCE POINT... ...MITCH MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH... AND FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. MORE...
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AccuWeather Weather Blogs [CASI] 1998 Tropical Season: Atlantic Hurricane Mitch
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