More storms, flooding on the way for the Middle East this week

Following several rounds of deadly flooding in recent weeks, another round of dangerous weather is forecast to hit parts of the Middle East this week.

The most recent round of stormy weather over the weekend killed at least a dozen people in northern Iraq.

A new storm will bring rounds of thunderstorms to the region from Thursday into Saturday.

The below graphics show a snapshot of the weather based on the GFS for the late afternoon hours of Thursday, Friday and Saturday. The final graphic shows total rainfall for the event.

The biggest thing to note is that some areas will endure the risk for downpours two to three straight days. Many of these areas have already had 100-200 percent of their normal monthly rainfall in the past two weeks with some areas having even higher anomalies.

While flash flooding will be the biggest concern, there will be the risk for severe thunderstorms across northern Saudi Arabia and Iraq on Thursday and Friday and continuing in Iraq on Saturday.

The heaviest rainfall will likely fall from southeastern Turkey into northern Syria and northern Iraq where total rainfall of 50-100 mm (2-4 inches) is expected.

Rain and local flooding will be possible closer to the Mediterranean Sea on Friday and Saturday affecting areas from Israel to Lebanon and western Syria.

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