Forecast Clues Through the End of June

This is my latest interpretation of the updated weekly ECMWF model output.....

The model has once again trended back to a cooler regime across central and eastern Canada for much of the month, while the far West is projected to stay warmer than normal, which is likely due in part to the warmer-than-normal waters of the northeastern Pacific.

Long-range precipitation anomaly forecasts typically have a low skill rate, especially during the warm months when precipitation can be highly variable over a very short distance due to the more convective (showers/thunderstorms as opposed to large rain areas) nature of the precipitation.