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This video explains the forecast and some of the uncertainties for the weekend and early next week. Two issues are causing concern: (1) How far east will showers get? A plume of moisture from the western Gulf states is likely promote showers and thunderstorms from Louisiana to western Pennsylvania and western New York. It appears now that those showers will not reach the I-95 corridor, but that could change. (2) A storm may form east of the Carolinas. The prevailing thinking is that it will pass well east of New England on Sunday or Monday. But since the storm has not formed yet, it is somewhat of a wild card.
The following video is a time lapse movie of cloud movement following a weak cold frontal passage at my house on July 15th.
This is a satellite picture showing rather tame conditions off the South Atlantic coast at 7:45 AM ET today. The area is being watched for any signs of storm development.
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