Watching Two Areas for Possible Development Over East Pacific

5/22/2015 8:35:18 PM

One tropical wave is located about 1,300 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Another area of low pressure is about 2,000 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja. These features are expected to move slowly westward over the next several days. Development is not expected through tonight, but there is some potential for development of either or both of these systems over the weekend or early next week. However, due to their proximity to each other if significant development were to occur it would probably only happen with one of these features. Both are far away from any land areas.

Elsewhere across the East Pacific it is quiet, and no development is likely for at least the next several days.

By Meteorologist Dave Samuhel

2015 East Pacific Storms

Andres Blanca Carlos Dolores Enrique Felicia
Guillermo Hilda Ignacio Jimena Kevin Linda
Marty Nora Olaf Patricia Rick Sandra
Terry Vivian Waldo Xina York Zelda

East Pacific Basin Maps

National Hurricane Center Outlook

NHC E. Pacific Activity

ABPZ20 KNHC 221748

1100 AM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California has become a little better organized this
morning.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development of this system during the next three to four days while
it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
located about 2000 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has also become better organized this morning. Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or two
while the low moves slowly northwestward.  After that time,
development is less likely due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Beven

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