East Pacific Hurricane & Tropical Storm Center

Hurricane Olaf is a Category 3 Hurricane located at 13.5 N, -146.3 W with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, gusting to 140 mph more >

Hurricane Patricia is a Category 4 Hurricane located at 15 N, -104 W with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, gusting to 160 mph more >

Hurricane Patricia Strengthens; Olaf Still a Major Hurricane

10/22/2015 2:24:38 PM

Hurricane Patricia is located south of Mexico and has been strengthening rapidly since Wednesday afternoon. It is now a Category 4 storm with sustained winds of 130 mph and higher gusts. The storm may strengthen a little more through tonight, then probably fluctuate a little in strength during the day Friday. It will make landfall late Friday afternoon or evening as a major hurricane with sustained winds well over 100 mph.

The storm continues to travel west-northwest today, paralleling the coast. It will turn northeastward Friday and make landfall a little north of Manzanillo. The worst conditions are expected Friday into Friday night. Patricia will bring powerful wind gusts of 130-150 mph and widespread rainfall amounts of 4-8 inches with locally higher amounts. The greatest impacts will be felt at the immediate coastline and in the higher elevations just inland. This will likely result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, as well as widespread power outages and damage to some structures. In addition, there will be a storm surge of 3-6 feet near and to the right of where the storm makes landfall.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Olaf was centered over 700 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Olaf has weakened slightly, but it is still a powerful system, with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and higher gusts.

While Olaf continues to move toward the northwest and will likely continue to do so today, by Friday it is expected to turn toward the northeast. This track will keep the system well east of Hawaii and therefore over the open waters of the Pacific where it is expected to gradually weaken. While Olaf will pose no direct threat to land through the foreseeable future, it will continue to produce very rough surf and seas across Hawaii over the next few days.

By AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Brian Wimer

2015 East Pacific Storms

Andres Blanca Carlos Dolores Enrique Felicia
Guillermo Hilda Ignacio Jimena Kevin Linda
Marty Nora Olaf Patricia Rick Sandra
Terry Vivian Waldo Xina York Zelda

East Pacific Basin Maps

National Hurricane Center Outlook

NHC E. Pacific Activity

617 
ABPZ20 KNHC 221137
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Patricia, located a couple of hundred miles south of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south or south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula Friday or over the weekend.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be marginally conducive for gradual development of this
system while it moves slowly toward the east-northeast or northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Hurricane Olaf is a Category 3 Hurricane located at 13.5 N, -146.3 W with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, gusting to 140 mph more >

Hurricane Patricia is a Category 4 Hurricane located at 15 N, -104 W with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, gusting to 160 mph more >

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