A tropical wave that moved off the African coast with a weak low pressure area continues to move westward. This system has a swirl of clouds and showers just south of the Cape Verde Islands. This feature will move westward into a narrow area of low shear but weak instability and moisture. If this system can survive the not so ideal atmosphere it could reach the Lesser Antilles Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. There is some chance this system might evolve into a weakly organized tropical system. However, the drier air and marginal ocean water temperatures will limit development.
An area of low pressure that formed over a weak frontal boundary across Florida has moved northeast to a position just northeast of Jacksonville Florida. Strong vertical wind shears will limit further development of this system as it moves north northeast during the next few days.
The rest of the Atlantic Basin including the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean looks fairly quiet through the upcoming weekend into early next week.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski
869 ABNT20 KNHC 300515 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Although this system is currently producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms, further development, if any, will be slow to occur while it moves westward near 15 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the coast of northern Florida is accompanied by disorganized thunderstorm activity. The low is expected to move northeastward with no significant development, and is forecast to merge with a frontal system by Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Avila