
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...1 1/2 to 2 1/2 ft of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline for this afternoon, tonight and Monday afternoon high tide cycles. * WHERE...Northeast Suffolk and Southeast Suffolk Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Moderate coastal flooding expected, with 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 ft of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. This would result in several road closures and flooding of numerous low lying properties including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with basements near the waterfront. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. * SHORELINE IMPACTS FOR TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND...Breaking waves of 4 to 8 ft along the north and east facing shorelines of Peconic and Gardiners bay will result in significant beach erosion and splashover seawalls and bulkheads, exacerbating flooding of shoreline roads and properties. Minor damage is possible to waterfront structures. * SHORELINE IMPACTS FOR OCEANFRONT...Large breaking waves of 8 to 12 ft along the oceanfront on an east to west sweep will result in significant beach erosion and flooding. Widespread dune erosion is likely with localized overwashes possible, resulting in damage to dune structures and localized flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This forecast has been weighted towards a reasonable worst case scenario to account for differences in model depiction of low pressure track and intensity, and provide a safety margin for planning. Water levels would fall on lower end or short of current forecast range if winds remain more from the north versus the northeast. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. && Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour. PECONIC RIVER AT RIVERHEAD NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.7 FT, MODERATE 6.4 FT, MAJOR 7.2 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.3 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 13/05 PM 6.2/ 6.8 2.8/ 3.4 3.2/ 3.7 3 MODERATE 14/06 AM 4.7/ 5.2 1.3/ 1.8 2.2/ 2.7 2-3 NONE 14/07 PM 4.6/ 5.1 1.2/ 1.7 1.6/ 2.0 1-2 NONE 15/07 AM 4.0/ 4.5 0.6/ 1.1 1.4/ 1.9 1 NONE 15/08 PM 4.0/ 4.5 0.7/ 1.1 1.2/ 1.7 1-2 NONE ORIENT HARBOR AT ORIENT POINT NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.8 FT, MODERATE 5.8 FT, MAJOR 6.8 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.8 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 13/05 PM 5.2/ 5.7 2.2/ 2.7 2.3/ 2.8 2 MINOR 14/04 AM 3.2/ 3.7 0.2/ 0.8 1.0/ 1.5 1 NONE 14/06 PM 3.5/ 4.0 0.5/ 1.0 0.6/ 1.1 1 NONE 15/06 AM 2.8/ 3.4 -0.2/ 0.3 0.4/ 0.9 0-1 NONE 15/06 PM 3.1/ 3.6 0.1/ 0.6 0.4/ 0.9 1 NONE FLAX POND AT OLD FIELD NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 9.2 FT, MODERATE 10.2 FT, MAJOR 12.2 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 4.9 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 13/05 PM 9.8/10.3 2.5/ 3.0 2.7/ 3.2 4 MINOR 14/06 AM 7.3/ 7.8 0.0/ 0.5 1.0/ 1.5 3-4 NONE 14/06 PM 7.3/ 7.8 0.0/ 0.5 0.6/ 1.1 2 NONE 15/07 AM 6.7/ 7.2 -0.7/-0.2 0.2/ 0.8 1 NONE 15/07 PM 6.9/ 7.4 -0.5/ 0.0 0.2/ 0.8 2 NONE MORICHES BAY AT EAST MORICHES NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.3 FT, MODERATE 5.3 FT, MAJOR 6.3 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 13/02 PM 4.7/ 5.2 2.3/ 2.8 2.5/ 3.0 2 MINOR 14/03 AM 3.1/ 3.6 0.7/ 1.1 1.3/ 1.8 1 NONE 14/03 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.8/ 1.3 1.0/ 1.5 1 NONE 15/04 AM 2.6/ 3.1 0.2/ 0.7 0.8/ 1.3 1 NONE 15/04 PM 2.7/ 3.2 0.2/ 0.8 0.6/ 1.1 1 NONE SHINNECOCK BAY AT PONQUOQUE NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.9 FT, MODERATE 5.9 FT, MAJOR 6.9 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.7 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 13/01 PM 5.4/ 5.9 2.2/ 2.7 2.2/ 2.7 2 MINOR 14/02 AM 3.9/ 4.4 0.7/ 1.1 1.4/ 1.9 2 NONE 14/03 PM 4.0/ 4.5 0.9/ 1.4 1.0/ 1.5 1 NONE 15/03 AM 3.2/ 3.7 0.1/ 0.6 0.8/ 1.3 1 NONE 15/03 PM 3.5/ 4.0 0.2/ 0.8 0.7/ 1.1 1 NONE FORT POND BAY AT MONTAUK NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.1 FT, MODERATE 4.9 FT, MAJOR 6.6 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.4 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 13/03 PM 4.9/ 5.4 2.3/ 2.8 2.1/ 2.6 8 MODERATE 14/04 AM 3.2/ 3.7 0.7/ 1.1 0.9/ 1.4 6 NONE 14/05 PM 3.5/ 4.0 1.0/ 1.5 0.7/ 1.1 5 NONE 15/06 AM 2.8/ 3.4 0.4/ 0.9 0.5/ 1.0 3 NONE 15/05 PM 3.1/ 3.6 0.6/ 1.1 0.6/ 1.1 3 NONE &&