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    Tropical System May Develop as End of Atlantic Hurricane Season Nears

    By By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist.
    November 08, 2015, 8:36:23 AM EST

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    The Atlantic Basin is attempting to have one last gasp for the 2015 hurricane season with a tropical wave being closely monitored for potential development.

    This system will drift through waters between Hispaniola, the Bahamas and Bermuda during the second week of November.


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    "A short window will open for the system to strengthen into a tropical cyclone," AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey said.

    "Wind shear in the vicinity of the Bahamas is expected to be low around the time this disturbance reaches the area, and water temperatures remain conducive for development."

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    This system will not pose a threat to the southeastern United States.

    "The steering flow pattern will guide the disturbance in question northward then northeastward between the U.S. Coast and Bermuda into Wednesday night," Duffey said.

    Many areas bordering the northern Caribbean Sea have received lower-than-average rainfall since the spring and could stand a thorough soaking in lieu of flooding.

    Rainfall in San Juan, Puerto Rico, and St. Croix, United States Virgin Islands, has been about 50 percent of average since Feb. 1, 2015.


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    The system and its downpours are expected to be near the Turks and Caicos Islands through Sunday before tracking through or near the Bahamas early this week. The system may pass near Bermuda around Wednesday.

    Residents and visitors in the above areas should closely monitor the path and strength of the system.

    Rain, wind and seas will increase around the system if it strengthens. Building seas and surf would become a concern for bathers, boaters and cruise interests.

    The Atlantic hurricane season does not officially end until Nov. 30. Strengthening westerly winds and cooling waters bring the demise of tropical systems as the month progresses.

    Following the two marginal threats into next week, the basin may be finished churning up tropical storms and hurricanes, aside from perhaps a poorly organized drenching system in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico.

    Prior to this weekend, there have been 10 tropical storms and three hurricanes, two of which became major hurricanes during the 2015 season. All numbers were below the average of 12 tropical storms, six hurricane and three major hurricanes.

    Joaquin, which blasted the Bahamas and sent tropical moisture into the Southeastern states, stopped just short of being a Category 5 hurricane. Tropical storms Ana and Bill were the only two systems to make landfall in the U.S.

    Content contributed by AccuWeather Meteorologists Kristina Pydynowski and Brett Rathbun.

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