Unlike the Atlantic basin, the western Pacific Ocean is rather busy in terms of tropical activity.
In particular, the western Pacific may be very active the next two weeks. The first system in line to affect the region is Tropical Storm Jebi, which is currently in the South China Sea, west of the Philippines, and is moving westward.
Jebi may impact land first over Hainan Island in southeastern China then continue westward and impact northern Vietnam beginning late Saturday morning, local time.
With warm waters and somewhat favorable atmospheric conditions, Jebi is likely to slowly strengthen before it affects land. However, it is looking less likely that it will strengthen into a minimal typhoon as it is running out of time.
Strong winds and heavy rain will likely cause damage to buildings and topple trees while flooding and mudslides threaten lives. There is the potential for 4-8 inches of rain from Hainan Island into northern Vietnam with local amounts over a foot.
A second tropical disturbance may develop east of the southern Philippines as early as Saturday.
Additionally, a third system may form south of Guam next week.
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