Earl aims to unleash flooding rain in Mexico despite weakening this weekend

By By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist.
August 07, 2016, 2:27:56 PM EDT

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Earl will continue to threaten part of southern Mexico with flooding through the weekend.

Into Saturday, the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz will be at greatest risk for torrential rainfall. However, portions of Campeche, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tiaxcala, Hildago, Guerrero and Puebla can also experience locally heavy rain.

As Earl continues on a general westward path through the weekend, locally heavy rain will continue to spread westward over south-central Mexico, including Mexico City.

“Rainfall of 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) will occur in some areas with local amounts of 300-450 mm (12-18 inches),” according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.


The greatest amount of rain will fall generally over the mountains, Kottlowski stated.

The rainfall will bring localized flash flooding and mudslides. Major river flooding could occur some communities.


Earl will track along the shoreline of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and will even pass over open water for a time into Friday night. Minimal restrengthening is possible, prior to moving over central Mexico this weekend.

“The center of Earl will pass south of the city of Veracruz, Mexico, late Friday night,” Kottlowski said.


Frequent and strong rip currents can occur along the Tabasco and Veracruz coasts. Waves will build over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico into Saturday.

While the center of circulation will diminish over the mountainous terrain of south-central Mexico this weekend, moisture could give birth to a new tropical system over the eastern Pacific coast of Mexico next week.

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Earl made landfall near Belize City, Belize, around 1 a.m. local time on Thursday as a Category 1 hurricane.

The Belize Tourism Board canceled all cruise ship calls for the rest of the week in preparation for Earl. They also shut down all archeological reserves and the Philip S. W. Goldson International Airport.

Much of Belize was without electricity Thursday morning, according to the Associated Press. In the capital of Belmopan, some roofs were torn off and trees were uprooted, the AP said.

Guatemalan authorities reported the collapse of a bridge in the town of Petén, according to El Salvador newspaper, Diario El Mundo.


It may take many days until the full scope of the damage is realized.

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