Near Miss for Japan; More Tropical Development Late Week

By By Adam Douty, Meteorologist.
September 09, 2014, 7:21:53 AM EDT

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After a break from tropical activity in the West Pacific Ocean during the end of August and first week of September, conditions are rapidly turning more active across the basin.

Tropical Storm Fengshen and Tropical Depression 14W are the two current tropical systems across the West Pacific Ocean. Additional tropical development is expected later in the week across the Philippines Sea.

Fengshen is a strengthening tropical storm located south of Honshu Island, Japan. Fengshen will brush the southern coast of Japan Monday into Tuesday, local time, bringing bands of rain and gusty wind to the area. The center of Fengshen will remain far enough to the south that more severe tropical storm conditions will remain offshore affecting smaller and less populous islands like Miyake, Mikura and Aogashima.


Across southern Honshu, locally 25-50 millimeters (1-2 inches) of rain is expected along with wind gusts to 65 kph (45 mph). While this will cause inconveniences to residents with outdoor activities, it should not cause significant impacts. In Tokyo, the most likely time period for rain and breezy conditions will be Monday and Monday night.

High surf could cause minor beach erosion along the southern and eastern coasts of Honshu as well. Offshore, waves of 4-6 meters (13-20 feet) will cause hazardous conditions for boaters.

From Tuesday into Wednesday, Fengshen will continue tracking to the northeast, moving into open waters of the northern West Pacific Ocean and will not bring any other direct impacts to land.

Japan Radar
Forecast for Tokyo
West Pacific Typhoon Center

Located in the South China Sea is Tropical Depression 14W. While 14W is weak in terms of tropical systems, it will still supply heavy rainfall to southern China, bringing about the threat of flooding.

On Monday, heavy rain will soak the Leizhou Peninsula in the southwestern tip in Guangdong along with southern portions of Guangxi. Additional rainfall of 50-100 millimeters (2-4 inches) will be possible in this area. Some locations could get upwards of 150 millimeters (6 inches) of total rainfall leading to the threat for flooding. Because this is a relatively weak tropical disturbance, wind is not expected to be an issue.

Following Tropical Storm Fengshen and Tropical Depression 14W early this week, meteorologists are monitoring the possibility for another tropical disturbance to develop in the Philippines Sea late in the week or into the weekend. Because of this, anyone with interests from the Philippines to Taiwan and Japan should continue to watch for updates through the coming days.

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