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    Tropical Cyclone Developing Near Madagascar

    By By Eric Leister, Meteorologist
    January 09, 2014, 11:06:51 PM EST

    An area of showers and thunderstorms continues to move across the Mozambique channel, just west of Madagascar.

    This area of showers and thunderstorms has become better organized and may become a tropical cyclone late Thursday as it moves southeastward over the warm ocean waters.

    A lack of wind shear, combined with warm water should allow this area of showers and thunderstorms to quickly organize into a tropical cyclone.


    After developing, the cyclone is expected to continue its southeastward movement and approach southwestern Madagascar late Thursday into Friday.

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    The center of the cyclone will more than likely remain offshore; however, heavy rain and some gusty winds could impact southwestern Madagascar, leading to the threat of flooding.

    In Morombe, on the southwest coast of the island, over 200 mm (7.87 inches) of rain as fallen in the last day and a half. The city also reported a wind gust of 91 km/hour (57 mph) on Thursday.

    By later Friday, the cyclone will race southward over the open ocean with no future impacts on any landmass before being absorbed into a large storm system over the southern Indian Ocean.

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