Richard's Similarities to Hurricane Wilma from 2005

By By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
October 23, 2010, 3:55:59 AM EDT

Looking at Tropical Storm Richard's forecast track and the historical path of Hurricane Wilma from 2005, there are eerie similarities.

Tropical Storm Richard formed on Thursday in the northwestern Caribbean not far from where Hurricane Wilma became the most intense Atlantic hurricane on record, which also occurred during the second half of October.

That is not to say that Richard will challenge Wilma's pressure record, but Richard is expected to strengthen into a hurricane prior to slamming into northern Belize or Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula later this weekend.

If Richard travels more to the north than the west over the next few days, its target will be the northeastern corner of Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula. That is exactly where Hurricane Wilma tore across on Oct. 22, 2005.

Richard should eventually enter the Gulf of Mexico next week. Similar to what happened with Hurricane Wilma, strong winds above the surface may then steer Richard toward Florida.


It should be stressed that Tropical Storm Richard is not expected to be an exact carbon copy of Hurricane Wilma, but Richard could still pose a serious danger to lives and property wherever it comes onshore in the upcoming days.

All residents and visitors from Honduras to the Yucatan Peninsula to Florida should closely monitor Tropical Storm Richard as the Hurricane Center fine-tunes its exact track.


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