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News / Weather News

Memorial Day weekend outlook: Plans may be spoiled by tropical downpours in East, showers in Northwest

By Kristina Pydynowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published May 20, 2018 1:49 PM EST | Updated May 23, 2018 12:49 PM EST

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Outdoor festivities during the Memorial Day holiday weekend may be in jeopardy across the eastern and northwestern United States, while the Midwest welcomes a drying trend.

Memorial Day marks the unofficial start to summer, and AAA reports that Americans will be traveling in near-record numbers.

“More than 41.5 million Americans will travel this Memorial Day weekend, nearly 5 percent more than last year and the most in more than a dozen years,” AAA stated.

The top 10 destinations for travelers this Memorial Day are Orlando, Florida; Seattle; Honolulu; Las Vegas; Anchorage, Alaska; Phoenix; Anaheim, California; Boston; Denver and New York City, according to AAA.

Unfortunately, bright sunshine is not in the forecast for all of these getaways.

Saturday 5/22

Tropical downpours, concerns to mar holiday plans in East

Tropical moisture is expected to result in rounds of showers and thunderstorms across a large swath of the East during the holiday weekend.

AccuWeather meteorologists are closely monitoring the potential for a more organized tropical system to form over the central Gulf of Mexico.

"In any case, it looks very wet for the Southeast for the holiday weekend," AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said.

New tropical May 21

Worse than beach plans, parades and picnics being ruined, Pastelok is concerned for the downpours to trigger flooding.

Farther north, the holiday weekend may start on a dry note from Washington, D.C., to Philadelphia, New York City and Boston.

"However, increased humidity and tropical moisture working up the coast, combined with an approaching cold front, can dampen later Saturday into Monday," according to Pastelok. "At some point, there may be several hours of steady to heavy rainfall for parts of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England."

That is the last thing residents of the water-logged mid-Atlantic want to hear.

Drying trend to grace Midwest

The better time for Memorial Day celebrations in the Midwest will be the second half of the holiday weekend.

The cold front is expected to first deliver showers and thunderstorms to Chicago, Detroit and St. Louis early in the weekend.

Sunday Indy 5/22

Pastelok anticipates lower humidity to then follow that front, providing these areas with some of the nicest weather across the nation by Memorial Day. Temperatures may be near to slightly above average later in the holiday weekend.

Unsettled weather to plague Northwest

The warmth building in Portland, Oregon, and Seattle by midweek is not expected to last through Memorial Day.

Temperatures may be brought back down to normal for the holiday as a storm pushes into the Northwest.

"Chances are higher over the holiday weekend for showers and a few thunderstorms from the Northwest to the northern Rockies and into the High Plains," Pastelok said.

Spotty thunderstorms may also erupt down into the Colorado Rockies, threatening to spoil camping trips.

Memorial Day May 20

Playing a tribute to veterans at gravesites to mark the Memorial Day holiday, retired U.S. Navy yeoman Mark Stallins of Denver performs in Fort Logan National Cemetery on Sunday, May 28, 2017, in southwest Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

AP Photo

Summer heat to bake Desert Southwest, southern Plains

The holiday weekend will definitely feel like summer from Phoenix to Dallas and San Antonio, Texas.

"The deserts and low elevations [of the Desert Southwest] will become extremely hot again for this time of year with widespread dryness," Pastelok said. The heat can also expand its grip across the southern Plains.

memorial day 5/22

Residents will once again have to use care with grills and campfires as occasional breezes may heighten the fire danger in the Desert Southwest.

Cooler air flowing in from the Pacific Ocean will prevent those enjoying the holiday in Anaheim, Los Angeles, San Francisco or any other communities along the California coast from baking in the heat.

Monitoring Kīlauea Volcano for impacts to holiday plans in Hawaii

Northeasterly winds are expected to keep southern and western parts of Hawaii's Big Island at risk for volcanic smog, called vog, through Memorial Day.

Hawaii overview May 21

Whether ash impacts air travel across the island chain will be determined by the duration and height of any eruption and the winds at that time.

No major issues for travelers headed to Anchorage, Alaska

Anchorage is expected to escape heavy rain and strong winds with mostly dry weather on tap for the holiday weekend.

A storm churning over the Gulf of Alaska may create choppy seas for cruise ships.

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AccuWeather Weather News Memorial Day weekend outlook: Plans may be spoiled by tropical downpours in East, showers in Northwest
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