Ex-Hurricane Kate to Follow Abigail Into UK, Ireland
By By Kristina Pydynowski, senior meteorologist
November 16, 2015, 5:07:40 AM EST
In the wake of Storm Abigail, ex-Hurricane Kate will contribute to stormy spells across the British Isles into next week.
There will be little break in the gusty winds associated with Abigail and those being kicked up by Kate across the British Isles.
Abigail produced a wind gust of 84 mph at South Uist, Scotland, according to the Met Office. The first named storm of the season by the Met Office caused disruptions to ferry service and power outages.
According to Scottish and Southern Energy, power has been restored to more than 20,000 customers by Scottish Hydro Electric Power Distribution Friday morning. About 500 customers are still in the dark.
While winds gradually subsided across Orkney and Shetland on Saturday as Abigail departs, the approach of Kate will caused the opposite to occur across Ireland and England.
Despite being a hurricane previously, Kate will not produce widespread damage across the British Isles.
“Kate will target more of southern Ireland and southern England than Abigail [this weekend],” said AccuWeather Meteorologist Steve Travis. “Even then, the winds do not look to be that damaging as what they were on Thursday farther to the north.”
Peak gusts from Kate will generally average 65-80 km/h (40-50 mph), including in London and Manchester. The best opportunity for gusts near 80 km/h (50 mph) will be near the coast and in the higher terrain, while gusts to 80 km/h (50 mph) are expected from Ireland to southwestern Scotland and North West England.
Such winds could cause sporadic power outages and tree damage and will easily toss around loose lawn items. Flight delays may result, while drivers of high-profile vehicles could face dangerous crosswinds.
Strong winds this weekend will not be confined to the British Isles but will also expand to Berlin and Prague.
Wind gusts of 95-115 km/h (60-70 mph) will graze far northern Scotland, but not until on Monday when Kate strengthens north of the British Isles.
While the center of Kate will not make its closest approach to the British Isles until late in the weekend, rain and gusty winds will reach Ireland and England on Saturday. As the rain lifts to the northeast, the winds will expand in a similar fashion.
The prolonged period of gusty winds could lead to flooding at southwest-facing coastal communities. Rough seas will threaten boaters and ferry operators.
The rain should not be heavy enough to cause widespread flooding. Localized issues, however, could result in the mountainous terrain of western Ireland and from Wales to southwestern Scotland. That is especially true with the ground saturated and streams running high in the wake of recent rain.
The rain, otherwise, will cause disruptions to those with outdoor weekend plans and lead to slower travel.
Travis stated that the train of storms for the British Isles will not end with Kate but “will continue next week and there could be a more potent system [than Kate] around Tuesday."
“This system will be more directed at southern England and even into other parts of Europe, such as northern France, Belgium and northern Germany,” he said.
These areas are being put on alert for winds that could return the threat of sporadic power outages, travel delays and localized tree damage.
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