Tropical Downpours Continue Over Southern, Eastern India Through Sunday
By By Eric Leister, AccuWeather Meteorologist
November 01, 2015, 8:46:56 PM EST
Tropical downpours across southern and eastern India are expected to persist through Sunday.
The North Indian Ocean is now entering its second peak of the tropical season. This uptick in tropical lows occurs during the months of October and November, following a period of less activity during the monsoon season that started in late May.
A large area of unsettled weather near Sri Lanka will spawn two tropical lows that will have impacts on India and the surrounding region through Sunday.
The first low will track northward over the Bay of Bengal while the second tracks westward toward India.
A northward track will keep one area of low pressure over the Bay of Bengal and also cause the heaviest rainfall associated with the low to remain over the open water with occasional downpours along the northeast coast of India through Sunday.
Other than southern India, where downpours will advance well inland, rainfall will remain within 80 km (50 miles) of the coast from Kakinada to Digha. Rainfall will generally average less than 25 mm (1 inch). Areas from Puri to Ratanpur are the most likely to get 25 mm (1 inch) or more of rainfall.
This tropical moisture will surge northeastward this later this weekend to bring the threat for heavy rainfall and flooding to parts of Bangladesh and Myanmar.
The second area of low pressure will drift westward crossing southern India over and cause widespread downpours.
While the heaviest rainfall will be across far southern India this weekend, areas from Mangaluru and Chennai southward can get rainfall.
Rainfall will generally average 25-50 mm (1-2 inches) across southern India into Sunday; however, locally higher amounts are possible between Thoothukudi and Chennai on the east coast and Thiruvananthapuram and Kochi on the west coast.
West of India, Tropical Cyclone Chapala is one of the strongest cyclones ever recorded in the Northern Indian Ocean.
This tropical system will have no direct impacts on India as steering winds from the east will result in a track toward the Arabian Peninsula.
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