Luban to unleash life-threatening flooding, mudslides in Yemen, Oman into early week

By Courtney Spamer, AccuWeather meteorologist
By Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
October 14, 2018, 10:08:04 AM EDT

Former Cyclone Luban will bring the risk for widespread flooding along with mudslides and damaging winds to parts of Yemen and Oman into early week.

Luban is the third cyclonic storm of the year in the Arabian Sea and the first to make landfall in Yemen.

The cyclone reached peak intensity late on Thursday night, with sustained winds over 140 km/h (87 mph).

Luban Track 10/14

Luban passed to the north of Socotra early this weekend, but was still close enough to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to the island.

After passing Socotra, Luban made landfall along the coast of eastern Yemen on Sunday with winds equal to a tropical storm in the Atlantic Ocean.

Rainfall will now be the primary threat from Luban as the tropical rainstorm weakens further and tracks farther inland.

Heavy rainfall will continue to bring the risk for flooding and mudslides into Monday with localized impacts lasting into Tuesday.

LubanImpacts 10/14

"AccuWeather Local StormMax™ may reach 250 mm (10 inches) in eastern Yemen, with the heaviest of rain falling near the coastline," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty.

Yemen Weather Center
Interactive Arabian Sea weather satellite
Oman Weather Center

Despite dodging a direct landfall, Oman’s southern coastline, including Salalah, could still endure heavy rainfall into Monday. Rainfall amounts are likely to surpass 50 mm (2 inches). This would be around half a year's worth of rainfall for the region resulting in dangerous flooding.

As the system stalls over Yemen, periods of rain are still likely to continue across much of eastern Yemen and southern Oman, but also extend into far southern Saudi Arabia through Tuesday. This can lead to additional flooding problems.

The northern Indian Ocean could have more activity following Luban and Titli. A pattern change later in the month has the potential to bring more tropical concerns by the start of November for the Northern Indian Ocean.

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